MathPredictions
▾

USA USL Championship

Las Vegas Lights FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-114%1-012%0-012%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.09
Avg goals2.21
Our pickHome
Las Vegas Lights FC 36% Draw 30% Pittsburgh Riverhounds 34%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 36% 2.80 2.55
Double chance – Home or away 70% 1.43 1.26
Goals 2.25 Under +8% Value 56% 1.79 1.95
Both teams to score – No 55% 1.83 1.83
Asian handicap 0 Home 51% 1.96 1.93
Corners 9.5 Under 66% 1.52 –
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.18 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.55  ·  Draw 3.10  ·  Away 2.50
Goals 2.25 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.93  ·  Away 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.4 Las Vegas Lights FC
8.2 Expected corners
3.9 Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Las Vegas Lights FC corner stats · Pittsburgh Riverhounds corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 34% Under 66%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.2 corners in this match, with Las Vegas Lights FC winning 4.4 of them.
  • Las Vegas Lights FC matches average 9.26 total corners (4.44 won per game) across their last 34 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Las Vegas Lights FC matches.
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds win 4.40 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.45 over their last 40.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Pittsburgh Riverhounds matches.
  • Games involving Las Vegas Lights FC produce 2.59 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 65%.
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds matches average 2.05 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
  • Across their previous 4 meetings, these sides averaged 2.3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 4 meetings with corner data averaged 7.5 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (56%).

Las Vegas Lights FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-06 H D Oakland Roots 0–0 5–8
2026-08-02 H D Phoenix Rising FC 1–1 6–5
2026-07-26 A W Detroit City FC 1–0 2–8
2026-07-19 A W San Antonio FC 2–1 5–5
2026-07-12 A W Monterey Bay FC 3–2 4–6
2026-07-05 H L El Paso Locomotive FC 1–2 8–3
2026-06-21 H L Orange County SC 2–3 5–5
2026-06-14 A W Birmingham Legion FC 2–1 7–2
2026-06-07 H L Oakland Roots 0–2 6–6
2026-05-31 H D Tulsa 0–0 2–3

Pittsburgh Riverhounds — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 A W Oakland Roots 1–0 0–4
2026-07-30 H L Tulsa 0–1 1–4
2026-07-26 H L Rhode Island FC 0–1 6–4
2026-07-19 H W Louisville City FC 3–1 2–7
2026-07-16 A L Sporting JAX 1–2 2–1
2026-07-12 H W Loudoun United FC 2–0 3–2
2026-07-05 H L Brooklyn FC 0–2 6–4
2026-06-21 A D Hartford Athletic 0–0 3–12
2026-06-14 H W Indy Eleven 1–0 4–4
2026-06-07 A D Charleston Battery 0–0 4–10

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Las Vegas Lights FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our model gives Las Vegas Lights FC a 36% chance, the draw 30% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 34%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Las Vegas Lights FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
The corner model projects 8.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 34% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.