MathPredictions

Europe Friendlies

Lazio vs Avellino Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.74 – 0.86
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Lazio 57% Draw 26% Avellino 17%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 57% 1.76 1.57
Double chance Home or draw 83% 1.21 1.13
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93
Both teams to score No 51% 1.95
Correct score 1-1 12% 8.16 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.57  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 4.33

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

Lazio — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-24 H W Pisa 2–1 5–1
2026-05-17 A L Roma 0–2 3–8
2026-05-14 H L Inter Milan 0–2 1–3
2026-05-10 H L Inter Milan 0–3 5–1
2026-05-05 A W Cremonese 2–1 3–3
2026-04-28 H D Udinese 3–3 4–5
2026-04-23 A D Atalanta 1–1 5–6
2026-04-19 A W Napoli 2–0 0–12
2026-04-14 A L Fiorentina 0–1 5–2
2026-04-05 H D Parma 1–1 7–2

Avellino — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 H W Real Forio 2014 3–1 11–1
2026-07-27 A W Sambenedettese 5–0 3–3
2026-05-13 A L Catanzaro 0–3 5–6
2026-05-09 H W Modena 1–0 6–0
2026-05-01 A L Empoli 0–1 2–4
2026-04-25 H W Bari 2–0 8–4
2026-04-18 A W Mantova 2–0 2–10
2026-04-11 H D Catanzaro 1–1 6–1
2026-04-06 A L Palermo 0–2 0–1
2026-03-23 A L Sampdoria 1–2 3–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Lazio vs Avellino?
Our model gives Lazio a 57% chance, the draw 26% and Avellino 17%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.