Europe Friendlies
Lazio vs Avellino Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.74 – 0.86
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Lazio 57%
Draw 26%
Avellino 17%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 57% | 1.76 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 83% | 1.21 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.16 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.57 · Draw 4.00 · Away 4.33 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Lazio win 3.65 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.78 over their last 46.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 26% of Lazio matches.
- Across 43 recent matches, Avellino games produced 9.14 corners on average — 4.35 taken by Avellino themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 49% of Avellino matches.
- Games involving Lazio produce 2.15 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 33%.
- Avellino matches average 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
Lazio — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Pisa | 2–1 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Roma | 0–2 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | L Inter Milan | 0–2 | 1–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Inter Milan | 0–3 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-05 | A | W Cremonese | 2–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-28 | H | D Udinese | 3–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | D Atalanta | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | W Napoli | 2–0 | 0–12 |
| 2026-04-14 | A | L Fiorentina | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | D Parma | 1–1 | 7–2 |
Avellino — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | H | W Real Forio 2014 | 3–1 | 11–1 |
| 2026-07-27 | A | W Sambenedettese | 5–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | L Catanzaro | 0–3 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Modena | 1–0 | 6–0 |
| 2026-05-01 | A | L Empoli | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Bari | 2–0 | 8–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W Mantova | 2–0 | 2–10 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | D Catanzaro | 1–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Palermo | 0–2 | 0–1 |
| 2026-03-23 | A | L Sampdoria | 1–2 | 3–9 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Lazio vs Avellino?
- Our model gives Lazio a 57% chance, the draw 26% and Avellino 17%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.