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Poland I Liga

Lechia Gdansk vs Warta Poznan Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.62 – 1.71
Avg goals3.34
Our pickAway
Lechia Gdansk 36% Draw 25% Warta Poznan 39%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 39% 2.53 2.55
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.33 1.25
Goals 2.75 Over +11% Value 60% 1.66 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 67% 1.50 1.53
Asian handicap 0 Away 53% 1.91 1.95
Corners 10 Over 55% 1.83 1.93
Correct score – 1-1 11% 9.19 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.45  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 2.55
Goals 2.75 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95
Corners 10 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.1 Lechia Gdansk
10.4 Expected corners
4.3 Warta Poznan

Lechia Gdansk corner stats · Warta Poznan corner stats

Corner line 10.00
Over 55% Under 45%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.4 corners in this match, with Lechia Gdansk winning 6.1 of them.
  • Lechia Gdansk win 5.24 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.65 over their last 37.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of Lechia Gdansk matches.
  • Across 40 recent matches, Warta Poznan games produced 10.05 corners on average — 4.90 taken by Warta Poznan themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Warta Poznan matches.
  • Games involving Lechia Gdansk produce 3.54 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 73%.
  • Warta Poznan matches average 2.98 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
  • Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 1.5 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 9.3 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (60%).

Lechia Gdansk — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H L Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0–3 3–5
2026-07-04 H L Olimpia Grudziadz 1–3 8–4
2026-05-23 A L Termalica BB Nieciecza 2–3 10–2
2026-05-17 H L Legia Warsaw 1–2 4–5
2026-05-09 A L Widzew Lodz 1–3 2–2
2026-05-05 A L Radomiak Radom 1–3 7–4
2026-04-25 H L Rakow Czestochowa 1–2 3–3
2026-04-21 H D Piast Gliwice 1–1 11–0
2026-04-11 A L Wisla Plock 0–1 13–4
2026-04-07 H W Korona Kielce 4–2 6–5

Warta Poznan — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Polonia Bytom 3–4 4–7
2026-07-18 H L Gornik Polkowice 3–4 4–3
2026-07-18 H L Lechia Zielona Góra 1–2 0–9
2026-07-11 A L Chrobry Glogow 1–3 6–6
2026-07-03 A L Motor Lublin 1–4 6–2
2026-05-30 H D Resovia Rzeszow 2–2 6–8
2026-05-23 A D Podhale Nowy Targ 2–2 4–5
2026-05-18 A W KKS Kalisz 2–0 8–2
2026-05-10 H D Sandecja Nowy Sacz 0–0 7–4
2026-05-03 A W Hutnik Krakow 1–0 3–7

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Lechia Gdansk vs Warta Poznan?
Our model gives Lechia Gdansk a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Warta Poznan 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Lechia Gdansk vs Warta Poznan?
The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 55% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.