UK Friendlies
Leek Town vs Runcorn Linnets Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.21 – 1.48
Avg goals2.69
Our pickAway
Leek Town 30%
Draw 28%
Runcorn Linnets 42%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away +69% Value | 42% | 2.36 | 3.60 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 3 | Under +13% Value | 64% | 1.57 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 55% | 1.80 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away +42% Value | 77% | 1.30 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +7% Value | 13% | 7.49 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.80 · Draw 3.50 · Away 3.60 |
| Goals 3 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.6
Leek Town
8.5
Expected corners
4.9
Runcorn Linnets
Leek Town corner stats · Runcorn Linnets corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 38%
Under 62%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.5 corners in this match, with Leek Town winning 3.6 of them.
- Leek Town matches average 9.00 total corners (4.24 won per game) across their last 33 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 30% of Leek Town matches.
- Runcorn Linnets win 5.50 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.20 over their last 20.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 55% of Runcorn Linnets matches.
- Games involving Leek Town produce 2.48 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 52%.
- Runcorn Linnets matches average 2.70 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Across their previous 5 meetings, these sides averaged 3.2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 5 meetings with corner data averaged 10 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (64%).
Leek Town — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | D Stalybridge Celtic | 1–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | W Kidsgrove Ath | 1–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | D Macclesfield FC | 1–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Prescot Cables | 1–0 | 11–10 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | W Stocksbridge P S | 2–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | W Bamber Bridge | 3–2 | 1–6 |
| 2026-03-14 | H | L Warrington Rylands | 0–2 | 2–9 |
| 2026-02-28 | H | D Stockton Town | 0–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-02-25 | A | L Gainsborough | 0–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-02-14 | A | L Lancaster City | 1–2 | 2–8 |
Runcorn Linnets — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | H | L FC United of Manchester | 0–4 | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-29 | A | L Stalybridge Celtic | 0–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | D Bootle | 1–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-02-04 | H | W Chasetown | 1–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-01-24 | H | D Avro FC | 2–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-01-10 | A | W Vauxhall Motors | 3–1 | 6–8 |
| 2025-11-19 | A | W Nantwich Town | 2–0 | 5–2 |
| 2025-11-05 | A | D Congleton Town | 1–1 | 4–5 |
| 2025-10-30 | A | W Avro FC | 2–1 | 3–9 |
| 2025-10-22 | H | W Sporting Khalsa | 4–1 | 6–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Leek Town vs Runcorn Linnets?
- Our model gives Leek Town a 30% chance, the draw 28% and Runcorn Linnets 42%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Leek Town vs Runcorn Linnets?
- The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 38% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.