Poland Ekstraklasa
Legia Warsaw vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.44 – 0.85
Avg goals2.28
Our pickHome
Legia Warsaw 50%
Draw 29%
Zaglebie Lubin 21%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 50% | 2.01 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 79% | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under +16% Value | 60% | 1.67 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 55% | 1.81 | 1.80 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away +16% Value | 66% | 1.51 | 1.78 |
| Corners | 10.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.34 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.57 · Draw 3.80 · Away 5.00 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 2.03 · Away 1.78 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.1
Legia Warsaw
10.3
Expected corners
3.2
Zaglebie Lubin
Legia Warsaw corner stats · Zaglebie Lubin corner stats
Corner line 10.50
Over 48%
Under 52%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.3 corners here; Legia Warsaw are forecast for 7.1.
- Across 50 recent matches, Legia Warsaw games produced 9.26 corners on average — 5.66 taken by Legia Warsaw themselves.
- Legia Warsaw games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
- Zaglebie Lubin matches average 9.49 total corners (3.56 won per game) across their last 41 with corner data.
- Zaglebie Lubin games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
- Legia Warsaw matches average 2.38 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
- Games involving Zaglebie Lubin produce 2.41 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 39%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.5 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 60% probability.
Legia Warsaw — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Pogon Szczecin | 1–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 2–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | W AS Trencin | 1–0 | 11–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Motor Lublin | 4–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Lechia Gdansk | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Termalica BB Nieciecza | 1–0 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Widzew Lodz | 1–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Lech Poznan | 0–4 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Zaglebie Lubin | 1–0 | 10–4 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | D Gornik Zabrze | 1–1 | 6–3 |
Zaglebie Lubin — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | H | W Piast Gliwice | 2–0 | 5–11 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Chrobry Glogow | 3–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | L Bohemians 1905 | 0–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-07-08 | H | L Banik Ostrava | 0–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Pogon Szczecin | 2–0 | 1–9 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | W FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova | 3–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Miedz Legnica | 3–0 | 4–12 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Jagiellonia Bialystok | 0–1 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Pogon Szczecin | 0–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Gornik Zabrze | 2–0 | 4–15 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Legia Warsaw vs Zaglebie Lubin?
- Our model gives Legia Warsaw a 50% chance, the draw 29% and Zaglebie Lubin 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Legia Warsaw vs Zaglebie Lubin?
- The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.