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Poland Ekstraliga Women

Legia Warsaw (W) vs Pogon Szczecin (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 23′ 0–1

Corners1–1
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–2
Shots off target2–1
Attacks33–28
Dangerous attacks17–14
Possession49%–51%
Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.49 – 1.93
Avg goals3.42
Our pickAway
Legia Warsaw (W) 29% Draw 24% Pogon Szczecin (W) 47%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 47% 2.13 1.65
Double chance – Home or away 76% 1.32 1.18
Goals 3 Over 57% 1.76 1.78
Both teams to score – Yes 67% 1.49 –
Asian handicap 1 Home +23% Value 66% 1.51 1.95
Correct score – 1-1 10% 9.64 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 4.10  ·  Draw 3.80  ·  Away 1.65
Goals 3 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03
Asian handicap 0.75 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Legia Warsaw (W) win 5.36 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.45 over their last 11.
  • Legia Warsaw (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 18% of the time.
  • Across 22 recent matches, Pogon Szczecin (W) games produced 9.82 corners on average — 6.55 taken by Pogon Szczecin (W) themselves.
  • Pogon Szczecin (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
  • Legia Warsaw (W) matches average 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
  • Games involving Pogon Szczecin (W) produce 3.32 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 41%.
  • The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 57% probability.

Legia Warsaw (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-18 H W Resovia Rzeszow (W) 8–1 3–3
2026-04-11 A W Unia Lublin (W) 6–0 7–1
2026-03-22 A W UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) 3–1 6–1
2026-03-12 H D GKS Katowice (W) 1–1 5–10
2026-03-06 A L Czarni Sosnowiec II (W) 0–4 2–7
2026-01-31 A L KS Uniwersytet Jagiellonski (W) 2–3 5–2
2025-11-02 H W Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) 2–0 10–2
2025-10-12 A W Sleza Wroclaw (W) 2–0 2–3
2025-09-20 A W Resovia Rzeszow (W) 5–1 5–2
2025-08-30 A W KKP Warszawa (W) 9–0 5–3

Pogon Szczecin (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-30 H W Slask Wroclaw (W) 1–0 10–2
2026-05-09 A W Pogon Tczew (W) 3–0 9–1
2026-05-02 H D Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 2–2 5–7
2026-04-25 A L GKS Katowice (W) 2–4 12–3
2026-04-22 H D Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 1–1 7–1
2026-04-04 H W Lech Poznan UAM (W) 3–0 7–2
2026-03-28 A W AZS UJ Krakow (W) 6–0 10–2
2026-03-26 H W APLG Gdansk (W) 3–0 6–2
2026-03-15 A W Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 1–0 11–2
2026-02-22 A W UKS SMS Lodz (W) 3–0 4–10

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Legia Warsaw (W) vs Pogon Szczecin (W)?
Our model gives Legia Warsaw (W) a 29% chance, the draw 24% and Pogon Szczecin (W) 47%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.