Europe Friendlies
Leicester vs Genoa Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.15 – 1.45
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Leicester 29%
Draw 29%
Genoa 43%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 43% | 2.35 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.34 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.10 · Draw 3.40 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 53 recent matches, Leicester games produced 10.75 corners on average — 5.36 taken by Leicester themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 62% of Leicester matches.
- Genoa matches average 8.66 total corners (3.70 won per game) across their last 44 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of Genoa matches.
- Games involving Leicester produce 2.74 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 68%.
- Genoa matches average 2.59 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
Leicester — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Malaga | 3–3 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | W Cadiz | 1–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Burton Albion | 3–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Blackburn | 1–0 | 11–9 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | D Millwall | 1–1 | 2–12 |
| 2026-04-22 | H | D Hull | 2–2 | 9–8 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Portsmouth | 0–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L Swansea | 0–1 | 12–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Sheff Wed | 1–1 | 10–1 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | D Preston | 2–2 | 7–2 |
Genoa — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | D Vicenza | 2–2 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Trento | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L Lecce | 0–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L AC Milan | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D Fiorentina | 0–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D Atalanta | 0–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Como | 0–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | W Pisa | 2–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | W Sassuolo | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-07 | A | L Juventus | 0–2 | 5–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Leicester vs Genoa?
- Our model gives Leicester a 29% chance, the draw 29% and Genoa 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.