MathPredictions

Europe Friendlies

Leicester vs Genoa Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.15 – 1.45
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Leicester 29% Draw 29% Genoa 43%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 43% 2.35 2.00
Double chance Home or away 71% 1.40 1.22
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93
Both teams to score Yes 54% 1.87
Correct score 1-1 14% 7.34 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.10  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

Leicester — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A D Malaga 3–3 6–4
2026-07-23 A W Cadiz 1–0 5–2
2026-07-18 A W Burton Albion 3–0 9–1
2026-05-02 A W Blackburn 1–0 11–9
2026-04-25 H D Millwall 1–1 2–12
2026-04-22 H D Hull 2–2 9–8
2026-04-18 A L Portsmouth 0–1 7–5
2026-04-11 H L Swansea 0–1 12–2
2026-04-06 A D Sheff Wed 1–1 10–1
2026-04-03 H D Preston 2–2 7–2

Genoa — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H D Vicenza 2–2 1–6
2026-07-19 H W Trento 2–1 5–4
2026-05-25 A L Lecce 0–1 6–1
2026-05-17 H L AC Milan 1–2 4–4
2026-05-10 A D Fiorentina 0–0 3–4
2026-05-03 A D Atalanta 0–0 2–6
2026-04-26 H L Como 0–2 2–3
2026-04-20 A W Pisa 2–1 5–5
2026-04-12 H W Sassuolo 2–1 5–3
2026-04-07 A L Juventus 0–2 5–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Leicester vs Genoa?
Our model gives Leicester a 29% chance, the draw 29% and Genoa 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.