MathPredictions
▾

Europe Friendlies

Leixoes vs Casa Pia Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.35 – 1.66
Avg goals3.01
Our pickAway
Leixoes 30% Draw 26% Casa Pia 44%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 44% 2.28 2.00
Double chance – Home or away 74% 1.35 1.20
Goals 2.75 Over 53% 1.90 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 61% 1.64 –
Asian handicap 0.25 Away 50% 1.98 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.24 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.00  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.00
Goals 2.75 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 37 recent matches, Leixoes games produced 9.24 corners on average — 4.59 taken by Leixoes themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Leixoes matches.
  • Casa Pia matches average 9.84 total corners (4.08 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Casa Pia matches.
  • Games involving Leixoes produce 2.86 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
  • Casa Pia matches average 2.53 goals, with both teams scoring in 45% of them.
  • Across their previous 5 meetings, these sides averaged 2.8 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 5 meetings with corner data averaged 10 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (53%).

Leixoes — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-18 H W Lusitania Lourosa 2–1 8–1
2026-05-09 A W Chaves 2–1 2–5
2026-05-01 A L Maritimo 2–3 1–2
2026-04-25 H W Portimonense 2–0 11–5
2026-04-21 A W FC Porto B 3–0 2–3
2026-04-12 H W UD Oliveirense 2–0 7–7
2026-04-07 A D Torreense 1–1 4–4
2026-03-22 H W Pacos Ferreira 3–2 6–2
2026-03-14 A L Academico Viseu 1–3 1–6
2026-03-08 H L UD Leiria 1–4 9–7

Casa Pia — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-29 H W Torreense 2–0 6–9
2026-05-21 A D Torreense 0–0 3–5
2026-05-17 H D Rio Ave 1–1 9–0
2026-05-12 A W Guimaraes 1–0 4–6
2026-05-03 H L Tondela 0–1 7–2
2026-04-28 A L Gil Vicente 1–2 3–4
2026-04-24 H L Braga 0–1 4–5
2026-04-19 H D Santa Clara 0–0 4–6
2026-04-12 A L Alverca 1–3 11–9
2026-04-07 H D Benfica 1–1 3–12

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Leixoes vs Casa Pia?
Our model gives Leixoes a 30% chance, the draw 26% and Casa Pia 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.