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Elite Club Friendlies

Lens vs Villarreal Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.60 – 1.66
Avg goals3.26
Our pickAway
Lens 36% Draw 25% Villarreal 39%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 39% 2.58 2.40
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.34 1.22
Goals 3 Over 53% 1.90 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 66% 1.53 1.44
Asian handicap 0 Away 52% 1.93 1.85
Correct score – 1-1 11% 8.90 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.50  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.40
Goals 3 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85
Corners 8 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 43 recent matches, Lens games produced 10.05 corners on average — 6.02 taken by Lens themselves.
  • Lens games clear the 9.5 corner line 49% of the time.
  • Villarreal matches average 8.63 total corners (4.22 won per game) across their last 54 with corner data.
  • Villarreal games clear the 9.5 corner line 39% of the time.
  • Lens matches average 3.12 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
  • Games involving Villarreal produce 3.04 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
  • The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 53% probability.

Lens — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H D Charleroi 2–2 3–3
2026-05-23 H W Nice 3–1 9–7
2026-05-18 A W Lyon 4–0 8–20
2026-05-14 H L PSG 0–2 6–3
2026-05-09 H W Nantes 1–0 8–3
2026-05-03 A D Nice 1–1 8–7
2026-04-25 A D Brest 3–3 6–0
2026-04-22 H W Toulouse 4–1 6–0
2026-04-18 H W Toulouse 3–2 14–1
2026-04-05 A L Lille 0–3 3–3

Villarreal — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A W PSV 3–1 2–2
2026-07-18 A L Benfica 0–2 2–3
2026-05-25 H W Atletico Madrid 5–1 5–9
2026-05-18 A L Rayo Vallecano 0–2 9–1
2026-05-14 H L Sevilla 2–3 6–4
2026-05-10 A D Mallorca 1–1 4–5
2026-05-02 H W Levante 5–1 7–3
2026-04-27 H W Celta Vigo 2–1 7–5
2026-04-24 A D Real Oviedo 1–1 0–7
2026-04-13 A W Athletic Club 2–1 3–15

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Lens vs Villarreal?
Our model gives Lens a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Villarreal 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.