Mexico U21 League
Leon U21 vs Pachuca U21 Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.20 – 1.20
Avg goals2.40
Our pickHome
Leon U21 35%
Draw 30%
Pachuca U21 35%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +12% Value | 35% | 2.86 | 3.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | 1.25 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 6.96 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.20 · Draw 3.25 · Away 2.05 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.6
Leon U21
8.2
Expected corners
4.7
Pachuca U21
Leon U21 corner stats · Pachuca U21 corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 33%
Under 67%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.2 corners here; Leon U21 are forecast for 3.6.
- Across 30 recent matches, Leon U21 games produced 8.40 corners on average — 3.87 taken by Leon U21 themselves.
- Leon U21 games clear the 9.5 corner line 30% of the time.
- Pachuca U21 matches average 8.97 total corners (5.23 won per game) across their last 30 with corner data.
- Pachuca U21 games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- Leon U21 matches average 2.37 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Games involving Pachuca U21 produce 2.90 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 60%.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 57% probability.
Leon U21 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | H | W Atlas U21 | 1–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-21 | H | W Club America U21 | 3–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Juarez FC U21 | 1–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-10 | A | D Puebla U21 | 0–0 | 1–10 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | W Atlas U21 | 1–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | D Atletico San Luis U21 | 1–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-03-18 | A | L Chivas Guadalajara U21 | 0–1 | 4–10 |
| 2026-03-14 | H | L Tijuana U21 | 0–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-03-07 | A | L Mazatlan FC U21 | 0–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-02-21 | H | W Santos Laguna U21 | 1–0 | 4–6 |
Pachuca U21 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Queretaro U21 | 1–0 | 7–0 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Unam Pumas U21 | 1–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Club America U21 | 2–2 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | D Club America U21 | 2–2 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | W Monterrey U21 | 2–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Unam Pumas U21 | 3–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | L Tijuana U21 | 1–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Santos Laguna U21 | 4–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | D Cruz Azul U21 | 0–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | W Atletico San Luis U21 | 3–1 | 2–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Leon U21 vs Pachuca U21?
- Our model gives Leon U21 a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Pachuca U21 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Leon U21 vs Pachuca U21?
- The corner model projects 8.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 33% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.