MathPredictions
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Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Leones FC vs Barcelona Guayaquil Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.03 – 0.98
Avg goals2.01
Our pickHome
Leones FC 35% Draw 33% Barcelona Guayaquil 32%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +7% Value 35% 2.89 3.10
Double chance – Home or draw 68% 1.47 1.53
Goals 2 Under +6% Value 55% 1.83 2.00
Both teams to score – No +5% Value 59% 1.71 1.80
Asian handicap 0.25 Home +7% Value 62% 1.62 1.75
Corners 8.5 Over 50% 1.98 1.90
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.72 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.10  ·  Draw 3.00  ·  Away 2.40
Goals 2 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.75  ·  Away 2.05
Corners 8.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.8 Leones FC
8.5 Expected corners
3.8 Barcelona Guayaquil

Leones FC corner stats · Barcelona Guayaquil corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.5 corners here; Leones FC are forecast for 4.8.
  • Across 23 recent matches, Leones FC games produced 8.78 corners on average — 3.83 taken by Leones FC themselves.
  • Leones FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
  • Barcelona Guayaquil matches average 9.24 total corners (4.50 won per game) across their last 54 with corner data.
  • Barcelona Guayaquil games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
  • Leones FC matches average 2.22 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
  • Games involving Barcelona Guayaquil produce 2.06 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
  • The model leans Under 2.00 goals at 55% probability.

Leones FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-31 A L LDU Quito 0–6 6–3
2026-07-27 A W Delfin SC 1–0 3–2
2026-07-24 H D Guayaquil City 1–1 9–1
2026-07-19 A W LDU Quito 1–0 4–9
2026-07-16 H D Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 5–4
2026-07-11 H W Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1–0 3–4
2026-07-05 A W Libertad FC 3–1 7–2
2026-06-02 H D Macara 1–1 4–5
2026-05-30 A W Huaquillas FC 1–0 2–11
2026-05-25 A L Tecnico Universitario 1–2 1–3

Barcelona Guayaquil — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H L LDU Quito 0–1 8–3
2026-07-22 A L Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1–2 2–8
2026-07-19 H W Libertad FC 1–0 5–4
2026-07-16 H D Guayaquil City 1–1 5–5
2026-07-13 A D Emelec 0–0 2–6
2026-07-05 H W Deportivo Cuenca 2–0 3–4
2026-06-02 A L Tecnico Universitario 0–1 7–1
2026-05-29 A L Cruzeiro 0–4 2–6
2026-05-25 A W Delfin SC 2–1 8–1
2026-05-22 A L Universidad Catolica 0–2 1–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Leones FC vs Barcelona Guayaquil?
Our model gives Leones FC a 35% chance, the draw 33% and Barcelona Guayaquil 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Leones FC vs Barcelona Guayaquil?
The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.