Bulgaria First League
Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.38 – 0.59
Avg goals2.97
Our pickHome
Levski Sofia 77%
Draw 17%
Septemvri Sofia 7%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 77% | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 93% | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 52% | 1.94 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 59% | 1.71 | 1.53 |
| Asian handicap | -1.75 | Away | 52% | 1.94 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +638% Value | 14% | 6.91 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.25 · Draw 5.25 · Away 13.00 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -1.75 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.0
Levski Sofia
9.2
Expected corners
2.2
Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia corner stats · Septemvri Sofia corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 47%
Under 53%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.2 corners here; Levski Sofia are forecast for 7.
- Across 51 recent matches, Levski Sofia games produced 9.08 corners on average — 6.22 taken by Levski Sofia themselves.
- Levski Sofia games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
- Septemvri Sofia matches average 8.37 total corners (3.88 won per game) across their last 41 with corner data.
- Septemvri Sofia games clear the 9.5 corner line 34% of the time.
- Levski Sofia matches average 2.55 goals, with both teams scoring in 41% of them.
- Games involving Septemvri Sofia produce 2.49 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11.1 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.75 goals at 52% probability.
Levski Sofia — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | A | D CS U Craiova | 2–2 | 4–9 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 2–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-07-23 | H | W CS U Craiova | 1–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Dunav Ruse | 2–1 | 9–0 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Borac Banja Luka | 4–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-08 | A | D Borac Banja Luka | 1–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | W FK Radnik Surdulica | 5–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | D Botev Vratsa | 1–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-05-26 | A | D CSKA 1948 Sofia | 0–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W CSKA Sofia | 2–0 | 3–2 |
Septemvri Sofia — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | L Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | D Arda Kardzhali | 1–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-10 | A | L Ludogorets Razgrad | 0–1 | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-28 | H | W Yantra Gabrovo | 2–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | D Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | W Beroe | 1–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W Spartak Varna | 1–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D Botev Vratsa | 1–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-06 | A | L Slavia Sofia | 1–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | D Montana 1921 | 1–1 | 4–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
- Our model gives Levski Sofia a 77% chance, the draw 17% and Septemvri Sofia 7%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.