Paraguay Reserve League
Libertad Asuncion Reserves vs Deportivo Recoleta Reserves Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 2–0 (HT 0–0)
Corners4–4
Yellow cards0–0
Red cards0–1
Shots on target2–2
Shots off target1–3
Attacks106–110
Dangerous attacks74–88
Possession52%–48%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.85 – 1.14
Avg goals2.98
Our pickHome
Libertad Asuncion Reserves 53%
Draw 25%
Deportivo Recoleta Reserves 22%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 53% | 1.89 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 55% | 1.82 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Home | 53% | 1.89 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Over | 50% | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.56 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.75 · Draw 3.50 · Away 3.75 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.8
Libertad Asuncion Reserves
8.5
Expected corners
3.7
Deportivo Recoleta Reserves
Libertad Asuncion Reserves corner stats · Deportivo Recoleta Reserves corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.5 corners here; Libertad Asuncion Reserves are forecast for 4.8.
- Across 41 recent matches, Libertad Asuncion Reserves games produced 9.29 corners on average — 5.10 taken by Libertad Asuncion Reserves themselves.
- Libertad Asuncion Reserves games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
- Deportivo Recoleta Reserves matches average 8.35 total corners (3.70 won per game) across their last 37 with corner data.
- Deportivo Recoleta Reserves games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- Libertad Asuncion Reserves matches average 2.85 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
- Games involving Deportivo Recoleta Reserves produce 3.32 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
- The last 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 7.2 across their last 6 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 55% probability.
Libertad Asuncion Reserves — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | W Deportivo Recoleta Reserves | 2–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-27 | A | D Olimpia Asuncion Reserves | 2–2 | 8–7 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L Nacional Asuncion Reserves | 1–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | W Sportivo Trinidense Reserves | 1–0 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-15 | H | W 2 de Mayo Reserves | 4–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | W Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 2–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves | 3–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D Olimpia Asuncion Reserves | 2–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | D Rubio Nu Reserves | 3–3 | 8–5 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Guarani Asuncion Reserves | 0–0 | 3–9 |
Deportivo Recoleta Reserves — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | L Libertad Asuncion Reserves | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Guarani Asuncion Reserves | 0–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | W Sportivo Trinidense Reserves | 3–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | L Sportivo Ameliano Reserves | 2–3 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | L Cerro Porteno Asuncion Reserves | 1–4 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Nacional Asuncion Reserves | 0–1 | 4–8 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D 2 de Mayo Reserves | 1–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | D Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1–1 | 6–8 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | W Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves | 3–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-03-31 | A | L Libertad Asuncion Reserves | 0–2 | 5–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Libertad Asuncion Reserves vs Deportivo Recoleta Reserves?
- Our model gives Libertad Asuncion Reserves a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Deportivo Recoleta Reserves 22%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Libertad Asuncion Reserves vs Deportivo Recoleta Reserves?
- The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.