MathPredictions
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Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Libertad FC vs Orense Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.37 – 1.11
Avg goals2.48
Our pickHome
Libertad FC 41% Draw 29% Orense 29%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +12% Value 41% 2.42 2.88
Double chance – Home or draw 71% 1.41 1.51
Goals 2.5 Under 55% 1.82 1.78
Both teams to score – Yes 51% 1.95 1.73
Asian handicap 0 Home +12% Value 59% 1.71 1.90
Corners 9.5 Over 52% 1.91 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.13 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.88  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 2.40
Goals 2.5 Over 2.03  ·  Under 1.78
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 9.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.9 Libertad FC
9.7 Expected corners
4.8 Orense

Libertad FC corner stats · Orense corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 52% Under 48%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.7 corners in this match, with Libertad FC winning 4.9 of them.
  • Across 42 recent matches, Libertad FC games produced 10.29 corners on average — 4.19 taken by Libertad FC themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of Libertad FC matches.
  • Orense matches average 9.47 total corners (4.49 won per game) across their last 43 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of Orense matches.
  • Games involving Libertad FC produce 2.29 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
  • Orense matches average 2.49 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
  • Across their previous 9 meetings, these sides averaged 2.4 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 9 meetings with corner data averaged 10.2 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (55%).

Libertad FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 A W Mushuc Runa 2–0 3–13
2026-07-22 H W Delfin SC 1–0 4–5
2026-07-19 A L Barcelona Guayaquil 0–1 4–5
2026-07-16 H W Tecnico Universitario 1–0 5–4
2026-07-13 A D LDU Quito 0–0 4–7
2026-07-05 H L Leones FC 1–3 2–7
2026-05-31 A L Manta FC 1–2 2–8
2026-05-23 A W Independiente del Valle 3–2 1–12
2026-05-20 A D LDU Portoviejo 1–1 3–4
2026-05-16 H L Deportivo Cuenca 0–1 5–4

Orense — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H L Independiente del Valle 2–3 11–4
2026-07-24 H W SD Aucas 2–1 6–3
2026-07-21 A L Mushuc Runa 1–2 4–5
2026-07-17 H L Emelec 0–2 5–1
2026-07-12 A D Manta FC 0–0 4–4
2026-07-07 H L Tecnico Universitario 1–2 11–2
2026-07-02 A L LDU Quito 0–3 1–7
2026-05-28 A L Vinotinto Ecuador 1–2 2–5
2026-05-24 H L Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1–2 6–5
2026-05-19 A W Guayaquil City 1–0 0–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Libertad FC vs Orense?
Our model gives Libertad FC a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Orense 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Libertad FC vs Orense?
The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.