Norway Division 3 Group 6
Lillehammer vs Drøbak/Frogn Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 01′ 0–0
Corners0–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–0
Shots off target0–0
Attacks6–1
Dangerous attacks1–1
Possession0%–0%
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.62 – 1.48
Avg goals4.10
Our pickHome
Lillehammer 61%
Draw 19%
Drøbak/Frogn 20%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 61% | 1.63 | 1.22 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 81% | 1.24 | 1.07 |
| Goals | 4 | Under | 51% | 1.94 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Asian handicap | -2 | Away +32% Value | 71% | 1.41 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 | 8% | 11.89 | 29.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.22 · Draw 6.00 · Away 8.50 |
| Goals 4 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -1.75 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.8
Lillehammer
8.6
Expected corners
3.8
Drøbak/Frogn
Lillehammer corner stats · Drøbak/Frogn corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 39%
Under 61%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.6 corners in this match, with Lillehammer winning 4.8 of them.
- Across 10 recent matches, Lillehammer games produced 10.30 corners on average — 5.90 taken by Lillehammer themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of Lillehammer matches.
- Drøbak/Frogn matches average 8.88 total corners (4.41 won per game) across their last 17 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of Drøbak/Frogn matches.
- Games involving Lillehammer produce 5.20 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 90%.
- Drøbak/Frogn matches average 3.82 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 4.00 (51%).
Lillehammer — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Rælingen | 4–2 | 7–1 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | W Lyn 1896 II | 5–3 | 9–5 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W Gjovik/Lyn | 3–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Drøbak/Frogn | 2–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Sandefjord 2 | 3–4 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | W Oppsal | 2–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-01-18 | A | D Honefoss | 2–2 | 4–7 |
| 2025-10-01 | H | L Kongsvinger 2 | 1–4 | 8–2 |
| 2025-08-31 | A | W Ullensaker/Kisa 2 | 4–3 | 6–6 |
| 2025-08-09 | H | L Lørenskog | 1–4 | 6–8 |
Drøbak/Frogn — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Brumunddal | 7–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | L Råde | 1–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W Rakkestad | 3–0 | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-27 | A | W Lyn 1896 II | 2–1 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | W Sandefjord 2 | 3–2 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D Lillehammer | 2–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-05 | A | L Sarpsborg 2 | 0–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Ørn Horten | 1–1 | 0–1 |
| 2025-10-26 | A | L Kvik Halden FK | 0–5 | 5–7 |
| 2025-10-21 | H | D Sarpsborg 2 | 3–3 | 2–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Lillehammer vs Drøbak/Frogn?
- Our model gives Lillehammer a 61% chance, the draw 19% and Drøbak/Frogn 20%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Lillehammer vs Drøbak/Frogn?
- The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 39% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.