Australia NPL Queensland U23
Lions FC U23 vs Peninsula Power U23 Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 3–0 (HT 1–0)
Corners15–5
Yellow cards1–0
Shots on target7–2
Shots off target12–1
Attacks131–83
Dangerous attacks101–36
Possession0%–0%
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.62 – 1.09
Avg goals3.71
Our pickHome
Lions FC U23 69%
Draw 18%
Peninsula Power U23 13%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 69% | 1.44 | 1.33 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 87% | 1.15 | 1.05 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Under | 54% | 1.84 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.5 | Away | 51% | 1.95 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +111% Value | 9% | 10.92 | 23.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.33 · Draw 5.00 · Away 6.00 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -1.5 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.9
Lions FC U23
10.6
Expected corners
3.7
Peninsula Power U23
Lions FC U23 corner stats · Peninsula Power U23 corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 62%
Under 38%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.6 corners in this match, with Lions FC U23 winning 6.9 of them.
- Across 22 recent matches, Lions FC U23 games produced 11.18 corners on average — 7.50 taken by Lions FC U23 themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 73% of Lions FC U23 matches.
- Peninsula Power U23 matches average 11.09 total corners (4.96 won per game) across their last 23 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 65% of Peninsula Power U23 matches.
- Games involving Lions FC U23 produce 3.50 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- Peninsula Power U23 matches average 3.52 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 4.2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 12.2 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.75 (54%).
Lions FC U23 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | W Peninsula Power U23 | 3–0 | 15–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Gold Coast United U23 | 0–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L Brisbane Olympic FC U23 | 1–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Wynnum Wolves U23 | 4–0 | 10–3 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W Rochedale Rovers U23 | 4–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | D Brisbane City U23 | 4–4 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Magic United U23 | 3–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Moreton City Excelsior U23 | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-24 | A | W Peninsula Power U23 | 2–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W Gold Coast United U23 | 3–0 | 6–5 |
Peninsula Power U23 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | L Lions FC U23 | 0–3 | 5–15 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Moreton City Excelsior U23 | 0–3 | 3–8 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Wynnum Wolves U23 | 0–1 | 4–10 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | D Eastern Suburbs U23 | 1–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | D Brisbane Olympic FC U23 | 2–2 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Rochedale Rovers U23 | 0–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W Gold Coast United U23 | 4–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | D Magic United U23 | 1–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Gold Coast Knights U23 | 2–5 | 4–10 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Brisbane City U23 | 0–1 | 3–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Lions FC U23 vs Peninsula Power U23?
- Our model gives Lions FC U23 a 69% chance, the draw 18% and Peninsula Power U23 13%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Lions FC U23 vs Peninsula Power U23?
- The corner model projects 10.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 62% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.