MathPredictions
▾

Australia NPL Queensland

Lions FC vs Peninsula Power Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.63 – 1.35
Avg goals2.98
Our pickHome
Lions FC 43% Draw 26% Peninsula Power 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 43% 2.33 1.90
Double chance – Home or away 74% 1.36 1.16
Goals 3.25 Under +16% Value 61% 1.65 1.98
Both teams to score – Yes 61% 1.65 1.44
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 51% 1.98 1.85
Corners 9.5 Over 55% 1.82 –
Correct score – 1-1 +11% Value 12% 8.14 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.90  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 3.00
Goals 3.25 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.4 Lions FC
9.9 Expected corners
3.6 Peninsula Power

Lions FC corner stats · Peninsula Power corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 55% Under 45%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.9 corners in this match, with Lions FC winning 6.4 of them.
  • Lions FC win 6.51 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.97 over their last 35.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 49% of Lions FC matches.
  • Across 30 recent matches, Peninsula Power games produced 9.80 corners on average — 5.47 taken by Peninsula Power themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 57% of Peninsula Power matches.
  • Games involving Lions FC produce 3.03 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
  • Peninsula Power matches average 3.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.4 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (61%).

Lions FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-21 H D Perth Glory 0–0 7–2
2026-07-18 A W Gold Coast United 1–0 8–1
2026-07-12 H W Eastern Suburbs 1–0 5–4
2026-07-07 A L Gold Coast Knights 1–2 0–2
2026-07-04 H W Brisbane Olympic FC 2–0 3–1
2026-06-28 H W Wynnum Wolves 6–2 13–1
2026-06-21 H W Rochedale Rovers 2–1 5–2
2026-06-06 A W Brisbane City 4–0 8–3
2026-05-31 A W Magic United 5–3 5–6
2026-05-26 A W Brisbane Olympic FC 1–0 12–2

Peninsula Power — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A D Moreton City Excelsior 2–2 7–3
2026-07-14 A L Apia L Tigers 1–2 4–9
2026-07-10 H D Wynnum Wolves 0–0 4–2
2026-07-04 A W Eastern Suburbs 3–1 3–7
2026-06-27 H W Brisbane Roar NPL 3–1 10–1
2026-06-21 A W Brisbane Olympic FC 3–1 8–7
2026-06-06 A W Rochedale Rovers 2–0 7–5
2026-05-30 A W Gold Coast United 4–0 9–3
2026-05-23 H W Magic United 3–2 4–1
2026-05-20 H W Moggill 4–1 4–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Lions FC vs Peninsula Power?
Our model gives Lions FC a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Peninsula Power 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Lions FC vs Peninsula Power?
The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.