MathPredictions
▾

Uruguay League Women

Liverpool Montevideo (W) vs Danubio (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-0
Expected goals1.92 – 0.68
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Liverpool Montevideo (W) 66% Draw 23% Danubio (W) 11%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 66% 1.51 1.36
Double chance – Home or draw 89% 1.13 1.06
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 1.85
Both teams to score – No 57% 1.75 –
Correct score – 2-0 14% 7.28 41.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.36  ·  Draw 4.75  ·  Away 6.00
Goals 3.25 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 11 recent matches, Liverpool Montevideo (W) games produced 10.55 corners on average — 4.82 taken by Liverpool Montevideo (W) themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 73% of Liverpool Montevideo (W) matches.
  • Games involving Liverpool Montevideo (W) produce 3.73 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.

Liverpool Montevideo (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-06 H L Montevideo City Torque (W) 0–6 7–5
2026-06-29 A L Defensor Sporting (W) 1–3 3–6
2026-06-14 H W Canadian SC (W) 3–1 11–2
2026-05-24 H L Penarol (W) 0–1 3–9
2025-11-23 H L Nacional De Football (W) 0–5 5–7
2025-11-17 A L Montevideo Wanderers (W) 2–3 6–2
2025-11-09 A D Defensor Sporting (W) 1–1 8–2
2025-09-21 H D Penarol (W) 1–1 1–10
2025-09-14 A L Nacional De Football (W) 0–3 0–9
2025-09-08 H D Montevideo Wanderers (W) 2–2 6–4

Danubio (W) — last 3 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-06-29 A L Montevideo City Torque (W) 1–4 4–9
2026-06-21 H L Montevideo Wanderers (W) 1–5 7–7
2026-06-07 A D Defensor Sporting (W) 0–0 3–7

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Liverpool Montevideo (W) vs Danubio (W)?
Our model gives Liverpool Montevideo (W) a 66% chance, the draw 23% and Danubio (W) 11%. The most likely score is 2-0.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.