MathPredictions
▾

Wales Championship South

Llanelli Town vs Newport City Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.41 – 1.61
Avg goals3.02
Our pickAway
Llanelli Town 32% Draw 26% Newport City 41%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 41% 2.42 2.40
Double chance – Home or away 74% 1.36 1.22
Goals 3 Under +5% Value 54% 1.85 1.98
Both teams to score – Yes 62% 1.63 –
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 52% 1.91 1.95
Corners 9.5 Over 57% 1.77 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.20 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.50  ·  Draw 3.30  ·  Away 2.40
Goals 3 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.3 Llanelli Town
10.1 Expected corners
5.8 Newport City

Llanelli Town corner stats · Newport City corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 57% Under 43%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.1 corners here; Llanelli Town are forecast for 4.3.
  • Llanelli Town matches average 9.65 total corners (3.35 won per game) across their last 37 with corner data.
  • Llanelli Town games clear the 9.5 corner line 54% of the time.
  • Newport City win 5.19 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.00 over their last 31.
  • Newport City games clear the 9.5 corner line 55% of the time.
  • Llanelli Town matches average 3.30 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.
  • Games involving Newport City produce 3.13 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 52%.
  • The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 54% probability.

Llanelli Town — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Haverfordwest 0–8 3–5
2026-04-19 A L Haverfordwest 0–6 0–8
2026-04-03 H L Bala Town 0–5 3–7
2026-03-28 A W Flint Town Utd 2–1 3–10
2026-03-21 H L Cardiff Met Uni 1–2 0–4
2026-03-14 H L Briton Ferry 0–2 3–3
2026-02-28 A D Bala Town 0–0 1–3
2026-02-21 H L Haverfordwest 0–1 3–6
2026-02-14 A D Cardiff Met Uni 1–1 3–10
2026-02-07 H L Flint Town Utd 0–2 5–11

Newport City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-09 H L Newport County 0–5 0–5
2026-06-27 A L Cambrian United 0–1 2–12
2026-04-18 H L Trefelin BGC 0–5 3–3
2026-04-04 A L Ammanford AFC 0–4 2–7
2026-03-28 A W Cardiff Draconians 1–0 4–3
2026-03-21 H L Treowen Stars 2–3 5–5
2026-03-14 A L Ynyshir Albions 0–4 2–5
2026-03-10 A L Trethomas Bluebirds 0–1 13–7
2026-03-07 H L Baglan Dragons 1–2 15–3
2026-03-01 H D Carmarthen 4–4 6–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Llanelli Town vs Newport City?
Our model gives Llanelli Town a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Newport City 41%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Llanelli Town vs Newport City?
The corner model projects 10.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 57% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.