MathPredictions
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Wales Championship South

Llantwit Major vs Pure Swansea Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.37 – 1.23
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Llantwit Major 39% Draw 29% Pure Swansea 32%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 39% 2.56 2.30
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.41 1.20
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 –
Both teams to score – Yes 54% 1.85 –
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.27 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.30  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.50

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 27 recent matches, Llantwit Major games produced 10.30 corners on average — 5.19 taken by Llantwit Major themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 56% of Llantwit Major matches.
  • Games involving Llantwit Major produce 3.07 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 70%.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.

Llantwit Major — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-18 H L Cambrian United 1–3 4–9
2026-04-04 A D Aberystwyth 2–2 7–6
2026-03-28 H L Caerau Ely 1–4 6–6
2026-03-21 A L Afan Lido 1–4 3–3
2026-03-14 H L Ammanford AFC 2–3 4–1
2026-03-11 A W Cwmbran Celtic 3–1 3–6
2026-03-07 A W Pontypridd Utd 4–0 3–5
2026-03-04 H W Treowen Stars 3–2 9–3
2026-02-28 H L Trefelin BGC 0–1 2–3
2026-02-25 A W Ynyshir Albions 3–2 8–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Llantwit Major vs Pure Swansea?
Our model gives Llantwit Major a 39% chance, the draw 29% and Pure Swansea 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.