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Australia Queensland Premier League

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-110%2-010%1-19%
Expected goals2.23 – 1.01
Avg goals3.24
Our pickHome
Logan Lightning 64% Draw 20% St George Willawong FC 16%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 64% 1.55 1.60
Double chance – Home or draw 84% 1.19 1.17
Goals 3 Over 52% 1.92 1.98
Both teams to score – Yes 57% 1.75 –
Asian handicap -0.5 Home +19% Value 64% 1.55 2.00
Corners 9.5 Under 66% 1.52 1.95
Correct score – 2-1 +48% Value 10% 10.16 15.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.60  ·  Draw 4.33  ·  Away 3.80
Goals 3.25 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap -1 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80
Corners 9 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.4 Logan Lightning
8.1 Expected corners
3.7 St George Willawong FC

Logan Lightning corner stats · St George Willawong FC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 34% Under 66%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.1 corners here; Logan Lightning are forecast for 4.4.
  • Across 28 recent matches, Logan Lightning games produced 8.25 corners on average — 4.25 taken by Logan Lightning themselves.
  • Logan Lightning games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
  • St George Willawong FC matches average 8.61 total corners (4.43 won per game) across their last 28 with corner data.
  • St George Willawong FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
  • Logan Lightning matches average 3.79 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
  • Games involving St George Willawong FC produce 2.93 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 32%.
  • The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 7.8 across their last 4 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 52% probability.

Logan Lightning — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 H D Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2–2 6–9
2026-07-11 H W Ipswich FC 3–2 4–2
2026-07-04 A L Brisbane Strikers 2–3 9–0
2026-06-30 H W Redlands United 5–1 2–0
2026-06-27 H L Caboolture FC 1–3 11–2
2026-06-23 H L Holland Park Hawks 2–3 7–3
2026-06-20 A L Robina City 0–1 4–11
2026-06-05 H W Capalaba Bulldogs 1–0 1–3
2026-05-23 A W North Star 3–1 2–5
2026-05-10 A W St George Willawong FC 2–0 1–4

St George Willawong FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H L Brisbane Strikers 0–1 1–4
2026-07-18 H W Caboolture FC 1–0 6–3
2026-07-11 H L Robina City 0–2 5–7
2026-07-04 A W Capalaba Bulldogs 2–0 5–1
2026-06-27 H W North Star 2–0 2–4
2026-06-19 A L Holland Park Hawks 1–2 7–0
2026-06-13 A L Broadbeach United 1–4 1–3
2026-06-07 H L Redlands United 0–3 5–4
2026-06-03 A L Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0–8 7–8
2026-05-24 H L Ipswich FC 0–4 4–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC?
Our model gives Logan Lightning a 64% chance, the draw 20% and St George Willawong FC 16%. The most likely score is 2-1.
How many corners are expected in Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC?
The corner model projects 8.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 34% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.