Australia Queensland Premier League Women
Logan Lightning (W) vs North Lakes United (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-3
Expected goals1.14 – 3.49
Avg goals4.63
Our pickAway
Logan Lightning (W) 8%
Draw 12%
North Lakes United (W) 81%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 81% | 1.24 | 1.14 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 92% | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| Goals | 4.25 | Over | 54% | 1.84 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Asian handicap | 2.5 | Home | 54% | 1.84 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-3 | 8% | 12.67 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 11.00 · Draw 8.50 · Away 1.14 |
| Goals 4.25 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap 2.5 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
2.6
Logan Lightning (W)
8.3
Expected corners
5.7
North Lakes United (W)
Logan Lightning (W) corner stats · North Lakes United (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 35%
Under 65%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.3 corners in this match, with Logan Lightning (W) winning 2.6 of them.
- Logan Lightning (W) win 3.69 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.38 over their last 16.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Logan Lightning (W) matches.
- Across 13 recent matches, North Lakes United (W) games produced 9.46 corners on average — 6.46 taken by North Lakes United (W) themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 31% of North Lakes United (W) matches.
- Games involving Logan Lightning (W) produce 4.44 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 69%.
- North Lakes United (W) matches average 4.31 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 4.25 (54%).
Logan Lightning (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Mitchelton FC (W) | 1–3 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Palm Beach SC (W) | 1–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | L The Gap NPL (W) | 2–3 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-07 | A | L Grange Thistle (W) | 1–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Caboolture FC (W) | 1–5 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-01 | A | L Virginia United SC (W) | 0–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | W Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 3–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-26 | H | W Palm Beach SC (W) | 4–3 | 4–12 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Peninsula Power (W) | 4–2 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L North Lakes United (W) | 0–9 | 1–8 |
North Lakes United (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Palm Beach SC (W) | 3–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-14 | A | L Grange Thistle (W) | 2–3 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | W Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 6–0 | 7–0 |
| 2026-06-09 | A | L Peninsula Power (W) | 0–1 | 13–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Mitchelton FC (W) | 1–0 | 10–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Logan Lightning (W) | 9–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Caboolture FC (W) | 3–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | W Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 4–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | W Virginia United SC (W) | 3–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-03-14 | H | D Grange Thistle (W) | 2–2 | 4–0 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Logan Lightning (W) vs North Lakes United (W)?
- Our model gives Logan Lightning (W) a 8% chance, the draw 12% and North Lakes United (W) 81%. The most likely score is 1-3.
- How many corners are expected in Logan Lightning (W) vs North Lakes United (W)?
- The corner model projects 8.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 35% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.