USA USL Championship
Loudoun United FC vs Hartford Athletic Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.18 – 1.24
Avg goals2.41
Our pickAway
Loudoun United FC 33%
Draw 30%
Hartford Athletic 36%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away +6% Value | 36% | 2.75 | 2.55 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under +12% Value | 57% | 1.77 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 1.99 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away +10% Value | 61% | 1.65 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 55% | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 6.98 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.35 · Draw 3.40 · Away 2.55 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.6
Loudoun United FC
9.9
Expected corners
4.3
Hartford Athletic
Loudoun United FC corner stats · Hartford Athletic corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 55%
Under 45%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.9 corners in this match, with Loudoun United FC winning 5.6 of them.
- Loudoun United FC win 4.92 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.49 over their last 37.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of Loudoun United FC matches.
- Across 40 recent matches, Hartford Athletic games produced 9.73 corners on average — 4.73 taken by Hartford Athletic themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Hartford Athletic matches.
- Games involving Loudoun United FC produce 2.89 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
- Hartford Athletic matches average 2.28 goals, with both teams scoring in 35% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.4 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (57%).
Loudoun United FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Indy Eleven | 1–0 | 3–9 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | D Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | L Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D Sporting JAX | 2–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-25 | A | L Charleston Battery | 1–4 | 2–5 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | D Birmingham Legion FC | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L Rhode Island FC | 1–4 | 1–3 |
| 2026-06-11 | A | L Greenville Triumph SC | 1–3 | 9–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W Richmond Kickers | 2–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Monterey Bay FC | 1–4 | 5–2 |
Hartford Athletic — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Phoenix Rising FC | 0–0 | 0–6 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Rhode Island FC | 0–1 | 2–9 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Westchester SC | 2–1 | 9–4 |
| 2026-07-09 | H | D Orange County SC | 2–2 | 17–4 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L Louisville City FC | 0–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | D Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0–0 | 12–3 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1–0 | 1–15 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | W New York Cosmos | 4–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | D New Mexico United | 0–0 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Tulsa | 0–2 | 5–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Loudoun United FC vs Hartford Athletic?
- Our model gives Loudoun United FC a 33% chance, the draw 30% and Hartford Athletic 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Loudoun United FC vs Hartford Athletic?
- The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.