Bulgaria First League
Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Vratsa Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.70 – 0.60
Avg goals2.30
Our pickHome
Ludogorets Razgrad 63%
Draw 25%
Botev Vratsa 12%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 63% | 1.58 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 88% | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under +18% Value | 60% | 1.68 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 62% | 1.61 | 1.62 |
| Asian handicap | -1.5 | Away +14% Value | 63% | 1.59 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +205% Value | 16% | 6.23 | 19.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.36 · Draw 4.75 · Away 8.00 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.5
Ludogorets Razgrad
9.8
Expected corners
2.3
Botev Vratsa
Ludogorets Razgrad corner stats · Botev Vratsa corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 54%
Under 46%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; Ludogorets Razgrad are forecast for 7.5.
- Ludogorets Razgrad win 5.59 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.03 over their last 63.
- Ludogorets Razgrad games clear the 9.5 corner line 33% of the time.
- Across 43 recent matches, Botev Vratsa games produced 8.84 corners on average — 3.49 taken by Botev Vratsa themselves.
- Botev Vratsa games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
- Ludogorets Razgrad matches average 2.46 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
- Games involving Botev Vratsa produce 2.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.4 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 60% probability.
Ludogorets Razgrad — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | D Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-28 | A | W Dunav Ruse | 2–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-24 | A | L Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | W KF Teuta | 1–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | W Septemvri Sofia | 1–0 | 0–1 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D FC Botosani | 2–2 | 8–9 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | D Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0–0 | 9–0 |
| 2026-05-26 | H | W CSKA Sofia | 1–0 | 8–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L CSKA 1948 Sofia | 0–1 | 2–7 |
Botev Vratsa — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1–2 | 5–8 |
| 2026-07-20 | H | D Cherno More Varna | 1–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | W Arda Kardzhali | 1–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | D Beitar Jerusalem | 2–2 | 3–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | D Levski Sofia | 1–1 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | W Beroe | 3–0 | 0–9 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | W Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich | 2–1 | 3–10 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W Montana 1921 | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D Septemvri Sofia | 1–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-06 | A | D Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 2–2 | 2–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Vratsa?
- Our model gives Ludogorets Razgrad a 63% chance, the draw 25% and Botev Vratsa 12%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Vratsa?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 54% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.