MathPredictions
▾

Europe Friendlies

Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruna B Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.41 – 1.19
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Lugo 41% Draw 29% Deportivo La Coruna B 30%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 41% 2.44 2.20
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.40 1.21
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 –
Both teams to score – Yes 54% 1.86 –
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.30 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.20  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 2.70

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 43 recent matches, Lugo games produced 8.93 corners on average — 4.28 taken by Lugo themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 33% of Lugo matches.
  • Games involving Lugo produce 2.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 42%.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.

Lugo — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A L Deportivo La Coruna 0–1 2–7
2026-07-26 H D Celta Fortuna 1–1 3–2
2026-05-24 H D CD Arenteiro 0–0 2–3
2026-05-17 A W Celta Fortuna 1–0 3–3
2026-05-10 H L Zamora CF 1–3 0–12
2026-05-03 A W Merida 2–0 2–6
2026-04-26 A L Barakaldo 0–3 5–11
2026-04-20 H D CF Talavera 0–0 5–2
2026-04-11 A L Ourense CF 2–4 6–2
2026-04-06 H L Osasuna B 0–1 8–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruna B?
Our model gives Lugo a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Deportivo La Coruna B 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.