MathPredictions

World Club Friendlies

Mainz vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 81′ 1–0

Corners3–2
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target2–5
Shots off target5–3
Attacks77–92
Dangerous attacks42–41
Possession50%–50%
Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.67 – 1.16
Avg goals2.83
Our pickHome
Mainz 48% Draw 26% Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 25%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 48% 2.07 1.85
Double chance Home or draw 75% 1.34 1.22
Goals 2.75 Under 52% 1.92 1.95
Both teams to score Yes 57% 1.76
Asian handicap -0.5 Away 52% 1.93 1.80
Corners 8 Over +9% Value 59% 1.70 1.88
Correct score 1-1 13% 7.96 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.85  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 3.30
Goals 3 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80
Corners 8 Over 1.88  ·  Under 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

8.7 Expected corners
Corner line 8.00
Over 59% Under 41%

Match trends

Mainz — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-16 A W Heidenheim 2–0 3–6
2026-05-11 H L Union Berlin 1–3 7–8
2026-05-03 A W St Pauli 2–1 7–7
2026-04-25 H L Bayern Munich 3–4 4–4
2026-04-20 A D Borussia M'gladbach 1–1 6–0
2026-04-17 A L Strasbourg 0–4 4–5
2026-04-13 H L SC Freiburg 0–1 6–4
2026-04-10 H W Strasbourg 2–0 8–4
2026-04-04 A W TSG Hoffenheim 2–1 3–7
2026-03-22 H W Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1 5–3

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 A W Udinese 2–1 4–3
2026-07-14 A L Sigma Olomouc 0–2 3–5
2026-05-16 H D Al Bataeh 1–1 5–3
2026-05-10 A D Baniyas SC 2–2 2–3
2026-05-07 H W Al Nasr SC 2–1 4–3
2026-04-29 H D Khor Fakkan 3–3 9–3
2026-04-22 A L Machida Zelvia 0–1 6–5
2026-04-19 A D Buriram United 2–2 5–3
2026-04-14 A W Tractor Sazi 3–0 1–2
2026-04-11 A L Al Ain SCC 2–3 5–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Mainz vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
Our model gives Mainz a 48% chance, the draw 26% and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Mainz vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 59% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.