World Club Friendlies
Mainz vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 81′ 1–0
Corners3–2
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target2–5
Shots off target5–3
Attacks77–92
Dangerous attacks42–41
Possession50%–50%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.67 – 1.16
Avg goals2.83
Our pickHome
Mainz 48%
Draw 26%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 25%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 48% | 2.07 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 75% | 1.34 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 52% | 1.92 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 52% | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 8 | Over +9% Value | 59% | 1.70 | 1.88 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.96 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.85 · Draw 3.60 · Away 3.30 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 8 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
8.7
Expected corners
Mainz corner stats · Shabab Al Ahli Dubai corner stats
Corner line 8.00
Over 59%
Under 41%
Match trends
- Mainz win 5.04 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.06 over their last 49.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of Mainz matches.
- Across 46 recent matches, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai games produced 8.59 corners on average — 4.76 taken by Shabab Al Ahli Dubai themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 35% of Shabab Al Ahli Dubai matches.
- Games involving Mainz produce 2.57 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai matches average 3.09 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (52%).
Mainz — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Heidenheim | 2–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | L Union Berlin | 1–3 | 7–8 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W St Pauli | 2–1 | 7–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | L Bayern Munich | 3–4 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | D Borussia M'gladbach | 1–1 | 6–0 |
| 2026-04-17 | A | L Strasbourg | 0–4 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-13 | H | L SC Freiburg | 0–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-10 | H | W Strasbourg | 2–0 | 8–4 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | W TSG Hoffenheim | 2–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | W Eintracht Frankfurt | 2–1 | 5–3 |
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | W Udinese | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-14 | A | L Sigma Olomouc | 0–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D Al Bataeh | 1–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D Baniyas SC | 2–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-07 | H | W Al Nasr SC | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-29 | H | D Khor Fakkan | 3–3 | 9–3 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | L Machida Zelvia | 0–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | D Buriram United | 2–2 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-14 | A | W Tractor Sazi | 3–0 | 1–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Al Ain SCC | 2–3 | 5–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Mainz vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
- Our model gives Mainz a 48% chance, the draw 26% and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Mainz vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
- The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 59% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.