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Africa Cup of Nations Women

Mali (W) vs Cape Verde (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.75 – 0.86
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Mali (W) 57% Draw 26% Cape Verde (W) 17%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 57% 1.74 1.57
Double chance – Home or draw 83% 1.21 1.11
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 1.83
Both teams to score – No 51% 1.94 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.20 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.57  ·  Draw 3.80  ·  Away 4.75
Goals 2.75 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Mali (W) win 3.40 corners per game, with match totals averaging 6.40 over their last 5.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 0% of Mali (W) matches.
  • Games involving Mali (W) produce 3.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 80%.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.

Mali (W) — last 5 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A L Cameroon (W) 1–2 2–4
2026-06-08 A D Burkina Faso (W) 2–2 5–2
2026-06-05 A D Burkina Faso (W) 0–0 4–4
2026-04-18 A D Morocco (W) 1–1 2–4
2025-10-29 H L Cape Verde (W) 2–4 4–1

Cape Verde (W) — last 4 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A L Ghana (W) 0–2 2–6
2026-07-22 A L Morocco (W) 0–5 0–7
2026-06-09 A D Ivory Coast (W) 0–0 2–8
2025-10-29 A W Mali (W) 4–2 1–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Mali (W) vs Cape Verde (W)?
Our model gives Mali (W) a 57% chance, the draw 26% and Cape Verde (W) 17%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.