Sweden Damallsvenskan
Malmo FF (W) vs Pitea IF (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.02 – 0.83
Avg goals2.85
Our pickHome
Malmo FF (W) 64%
Draw 22%
Pitea IF (W) 13%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 64% | 1.55 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 87% | 1.16 | 1.01 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 52% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 50% | 1.99 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away +6% Value | 54% | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 11 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +386% Value | 12% | 8.43 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.25 · Draw 5.25 · Away 8.50 |
| Goals 3 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -1.5 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 11 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.8
Malmo FF (W)
10.9
Expected corners
5.2
Pitea IF (W)
Malmo FF (W) corner stats · Pitea IF (W) corner stats
Corner line 11.00
Over 49%
Under 51%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.9 corners here; Malmo FF (W) are forecast for 5.8.
- Malmo FF (W) win 6.24 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.66 over their last 29.
- Malmo FF (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 62% of the time.
- Across 26 recent matches, Pitea IF (W) games produced 11.23 corners on average — 6.04 taken by Pitea IF (W) themselves.
- Pitea IF (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 77% of the time.
- Malmo FF (W) matches average 3.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Games involving Pitea IF (W) produce 2.65 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.7 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11.7 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 52% probability.
Malmo FF (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | L Vittsjö GIK (W) | 0–1 | 9–5 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Kristianstads (W) | 6–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-18 | A | W Djurgardens (W) | 1–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | D Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 1–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | W Vaxjo (W) | 3–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | D AIK (W) | 2–2 | 7–8 |
| 2026-05-21 | A | L Hammarby (W) | 1–2 | 7–8 |
| 2026-05-12 | H | L BK Hacken (W) | 1–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W FC Rosengård (W) | 1–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Brommapojkarna (W) | 2–0 | 11–4 |
Pitea IF (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | H | D Hammarby (W) | 1–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-06-18 | A | L Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 0–2 | 8–5 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Brommapojkarna (W) | 1–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W IFK Norrkoping (W) | 2–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L Djurgardens (W) | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L AIK (W) | 1–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W FC Rosengård (W) | 2–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W Vaxjo (W) | 2–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Vittsjö GIK (W) | 1–0 | 12–5 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | D IK Uppsala (W) | 0–0 | 10–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Malmo FF (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?
- Our model gives Malmo FF (W) a 64% chance, the draw 22% and Pitea IF (W) 13%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Malmo FF (W) vs Pitea IF (W)?
- The corner model projects 10.9 total corners. Over 11.00 corners is rated at 49% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.