Elite Club Friendlies
Man City vs Inter Milan Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.07 – 1.32
Avg goals3.39
Our pickHome
Man City 54%
Draw 23%
Inter Milan 23%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 54% | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 65% | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away | 52% | 1.93 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 10% | 9.86 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.00 · Draw 3.80 · Away 3.00 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 62 recent matches, Man City games produced 9.73 corners on average — 6.18 taken by Man City themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Man City matches.
- Inter Milan matches average 9.09 total corners (5.93 won per game) across their last 58 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of Inter Milan matches.
- Games involving Man City produce 3.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
- Inter Milan matches average 3.16 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (51%).
Man City — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | A | D Man Utd | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Aston Villa | 1–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-20 | A | D Bournemouth | 1–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Chelsea | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W Crystal Palace | 3–0 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Brentford | 3–0 | 10–2 |
| 2026-05-05 | A | D Everton | 3–3 | 9–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Southampton | 2–1 | 10–3 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | W Burnley | 1–0 | 11–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W Arsenal | 2–1 | 8–5 |
Inter Milan — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Karlsruher SC | 2–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Bologna | 3–3 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D Verona | 1–1 | 10–2 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | W Lazio | 2–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Lazio | 3–0 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | W Parma | 2–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | D Torino | 2–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-22 | H | W Como | 3–2 | 9–7 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Cagliari | 3–0 | 4–9 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | W Como | 4–3 | 1–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Man City vs Inter Milan?
- Our model gives Man City a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Inter Milan 23%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.