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Elite Club Friendlies

Man Utd vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.60 – 1.33
Avg goals2.93
Our pickHome
Man Utd 43% Draw 27% Atletico Madrid 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 43% 2.35 2.05
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.36 1.23
Goals 2.75 Over 51% 1.97 1.93
Both teams to score – Yes 60% 1.67 1.53
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 51% 1.97 1.98
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.01 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.05  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 3.10
Goals 3 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Man Utd win 4.63 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.02 over their last 46.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of Man Utd matches.
  • Across 63 recent matches, Atletico Madrid games produced 10.44 corners on average — 5.97 taken by Atletico Madrid themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of Atletico Madrid matches.
  • Games involving Man Utd produce 3.04 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
  • Atletico Madrid matches average 3.13 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (51%).

Man Utd — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W Rosenborg 5–0 6–1
2026-07-18 H L Wrexham 0–1 3–2
2026-06-15 H D Man City 0–0 0–0
2026-06-11 H W Stoke 2–0 4–0
2026-05-24 A W Brighton 3–0 3–0
2026-05-17 H W Nottm Forest 3–2 7–6
2026-05-09 A D Sunderland 0–0 7–6
2026-05-03 H W Liverpool 3–2 3–2
2026-04-28 H W Brentford 2–1 7–8
2026-04-19 A W Chelsea 1–0 1–7

Atletico Madrid — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-25 A L Villarreal 1–5 9–5
2026-05-18 H W Girona 1–0 9–8
2026-05-13 A W Osasuna 2–1 4–8
2026-05-10 H L Celta Vigo 0–1 10–0
2026-05-06 A L Arsenal 0–1 2–5
2026-05-02 A W Valencia 2–0 7–1
2026-04-30 H D Arsenal 1–1 6–1
2026-04-26 H W Athletic Club 3–2 3–4
2026-04-23 A L Elche 2–3 3–13
2026-04-19 H D Real Sociedad 2–2 5–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Man Utd vs Atletico Madrid?
Our model gives Man Utd a 43% chance, the draw 27% and Atletico Madrid 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.