Mansfield vs Derby Prediction

Match trends

• The corner model expects around 8.3 corners here; Mansfield are forecast for 4.1.
• Mansfield win 4.84 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.93 over their last 57.
• Mansfield games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
• Across 51 recent matches, Derby games produced 9.82 corners on average — 4.43 taken by Derby themselves.
• Derby games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
• Mansfield matches average 2.61 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
• Games involving Derby produce 2.73 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 65%.
• The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
• Corners have averaged 10 across their last 3 direct meetings.
• The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 51% probability.

Mansfield — last 10 matches

Derby — last 10 matches

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Mansfield vs Derby?

Our model gives Mansfield a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Derby 38%. The most likely score is 1-1.

How many corners are expected in Mansfield vs Derby?

The corner model projects 8.3 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.

How are these predictions calculated?

Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.