MathPredictions
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Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.11 – 1.20
Avg goals2.31
Our pickAway
Manta FC 32% Draw 31% Mushuc Runa 37%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 37% 2.73 2.35
Double chance – Home or away 69% 1.45 1.32
Goals 2.25 Under 53% 1.90 1.83
Both teams to score – No 52% 1.93 1.80
Asian handicap 0 Away 53% 1.89 1.78
Corners 9 Over +11% Value 62% 1.60 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.87 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.00  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 2.35
Goals 2.25 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap 0 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.78
Corners 9 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.2 Manta FC
9.9 Expected corners
4.7 Mushuc Runa

Manta FC corner stats · Mushuc Runa corner stats

Corner line 9.00
Over 62% Under 38%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.9 corners here; Manta FC are forecast for 5.2.
  • Manta FC matches average 9.74 total corners (4.31 won per game) across their last 39 with corner data.
  • Manta FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 54% of the time.
  • Mushuc Runa win 4.85 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.73 over their last 40.
  • Mushuc Runa games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
  • Manta FC matches average 1.92 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
  • Games involving Mushuc Runa produce 2.55 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 58%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 8.1 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 53% probability.

Manta FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A L Independiente del Valle 0–1 1–4
2026-07-26 A L Tecnico Universitario 0–1 1–8
2026-07-23 H D LDU Quito 1–1 9–7
2026-07-20 A L Guayaquil City 0–1 4–5
2026-07-15 H L Delfin SC 0–1 6–5
2026-07-12 H D Orense 0–0 4–4
2026-07-04 A L Independiente del Valle 0–4 1–6
2026-05-31 H W Libertad FC 2–1 8–2
2026-05-26 A L SD Aucas 1–3 4–8
2026-05-23 A D Club 9 de Octubre 0–0 2–3

Mushuc Runa — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 H L Libertad FC 0–2 13–3
2026-07-24 A D Emelec 1–1 7–11
2026-07-21 H W Orense 2–1 5–4
2026-07-15 A L Macara 1–2 4–4
2026-07-12 H L Independiente del Valle 1–4 6–6
2026-07-07 A W Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 3–2 1–7
2026-06-04 A L Gualaceo SC 0–1 4–3
2026-06-01 H D SD Aucas 0–0 4–6
2026-05-24 H D Guayaquil City 2–2 10–1
2026-05-18 A L Leones FC 1–3 2–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa?
Our model gives Manta FC a 32% chance, the draw 31% and Mushuc Runa 37%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa?
The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 62% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.