New Zealand Northern League
Manukau United vs Auckland United FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
0-2
Expected goals0.81 – 2.83
Avg goals3.64
Our pickAway
Manukau United 7%
Draw 14%
Auckland United FC 78%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 78% | 1.28 | 1.11 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 93% | 1.08 | 0.98 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Under +6% Value | 56% | 1.79 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Asian handicap | 2.75 | Home +23% Value | 68% | 1.47 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 11 | Under | 50% | 1.99 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 0-2 | 11% | 9.52 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 15.00 · Draw 8.50 · Away 1.11 |
| Goals 4 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 2.75 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 11 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.1
Manukau United
11.0
Expected corners
7.9
Auckland United FC
Manukau United corner stats · Auckland United FC corner stats
Corner line 11.00
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11 corners here; Manukau United are forecast for 3.1.
- Manukau United win 2.00 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.47 over their last 15.
- Manukau United games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- Across 37 recent matches, Auckland United FC games produced 10.59 corners on average — 5.86 taken by Auckland United FC themselves.
- Auckland United FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 65% of the time.
- Manukau United matches average 4.07 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
- Games involving Auckland United FC produce 3.08 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
- The last 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.7 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.3 across their last 6 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.75 goals at 56% probability.
Manukau United — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 0–7 | 0–17 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Auckland City | 0–5 | 2–8 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Auckland FC Reserves | 2–3 | 3–14 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | L East Coast Bays | 0–2 | 1–9 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Bay Olympic | 0–1 | 1–8 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Tauranga City AFC | 3–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Melville United | 0–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Birkenhead United | 1–5 | 1–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Auckland United FC | 0–7 | 2–12 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 0–3 | 0–6 |
Auckland United FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Nelson Suburbs | 1–2 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | D Western Springs AFC | 0–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Birkenhead United | 0–4 | 5–9 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D Cambridge FC | 1–1 | 13–3 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Melville United | 3–0 | 9–4 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | W Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 1–0 | 8–8 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | D Auckland City | 1–1 | 5–8 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | L Auckland FC Reserves | 0–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W East Coast Bays | 3–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Bay Olympic | 3–0 | 13–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Manukau United vs Auckland United FC?
- Our model gives Manukau United a 7% chance, the draw 14% and Auckland United FC 78%. The most likely score is 0-2.
- How many corners are expected in Manukau United vs Auckland United FC?
- The corner model projects 11.0 total corners. Over 11.00 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.