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Poland III Liga

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Jagiellonia Bialystok II Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-0
Expected goals1.91 – 0.85
Avg goals2.76
Our pickHome
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 61% Draw 24% Jagiellonia Bialystok II 15%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +6% Value 61% 1.64 1.73
Double chance – Home or draw 85% 1.18 1.22
Goals 3 Under +13% Value 62% 1.62 1.85
Both teams to score – No 50% 1.99 –
Asian handicap -1 Away 51% 1.96 1.83
Correct score – 2-0 +142% Value 12% 8.68 21.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.73  ·  Draw 4.20  ·  Away 3.40
Goals 3 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win 6.22 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.56 over their last 9.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 56% of Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki matches.
  • Across 21 recent matches, Jagiellonia Bialystok II games produced 9.81 corners on average — 5.00 taken by Jagiellonia Bialystok II themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 57% of Jagiellonia Bialystok II matches.
  • Games involving Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki produce 3.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 22%.
  • Jagiellonia Bialystok II matches average 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (62%).

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki — last 9 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-06-21 H W Stomil Olsztyn 1–0 3–4
2026-06-17 A W Sokol Aleksandrow 4–0 9–4
2026-06-06 H L KTS Weszlo 0–1 6–3
2026-05-17 A W Ozarowianka Ozarow 5–0 4–3
2026-03-29 A W Victoria Sulejowek 2–0 6–7
2025-11-02 A W Legionovia Legionowo 2–1 7–8
2025-10-18 A W Ursus Warsaw 3–0 9–1
2025-10-11 A W Blonianka Blonie 1–0 6–6
2025-08-23 A W KS Mszczonowianka 6–1 6–3

Jagiellonia Bialystok II — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-30 H D KS Wasilkow 1–1 3–8
2026-05-23 A W GKS Belchatow 2–1 5–3
2026-05-13 A W Mlawianka Mlawa 1–0 1–11
2026-05-10 H L LKS Lomza 0–2 6–4
2026-04-30 A D Warta Sieradz 3–3 3–6
2026-04-25 H L Widzew Lodz II 1–4 7–5
2026-04-19 A W Bron Radom 2–1 3–3
2026-04-03 A W Wisla Plock II 4–0 4–7
2026-03-14 A W Zabkovia Zabki 1–0 4–9
2025-11-29 H L Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 2–3 3–0

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Jagiellonia Bialystok II?
Our model gives Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki a 61% chance, the draw 24% and Jagiellonia Bialystok II 15%. The most likely score is 2-0.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.