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Australia Victoria PL 1 U23

Melbourne Srbija U23 vs North Geelong U23 Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 11′ 0–1

Corners0–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target1–1
Shots off target0–0
Attacks11–16
Dangerous attacks9–10
Possession0%–0%
Predicted score 1-28%1-18%2-27%
Expected goals1.74 – 2.19
Avg goals3.93
Our pickAway
Melbourne Srbija U23 31% Draw 21% North Geelong U23 48%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 48% 2.08 1.50
Double chance – Home or away 79% 1.27 1.11
Goals 4.25 Under +8% Value 60% 1.66 1.93
Both teams to score – Yes 74% 1.36 –
Asian handicap 1.25 Home +28% Value 68% 1.47 1.83
Corners 9.5 Under 58% 1.71 –
Correct score – 1-2 8% 12.20 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 4.33  ·  Draw 5.00  ·  Away 1.50
Goals 4 Over 1.88  ·  Under 1.93
Asian handicap 1.25 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.2 Melbourne Srbija U23
8.8 Expected corners
4.6 North Geelong U23

Melbourne Srbija U23 corner stats · North Geelong U23 corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 42% Under 58%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.8 corners here; Melbourne Srbija U23 are forecast for 4.2.
  • Melbourne Srbija U23 win 3.53 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.24 over their last 17.
  • Melbourne Srbija U23 games clear the 9.5 corner line 82% of the time.
  • Across 20 recent matches, North Geelong U23 games produced 8.35 corners on average — 4.10 taken by North Geelong U23 themselves.
  • North Geelong U23 games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
  • Melbourne Srbija U23 matches average 3.65 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
  • Games involving North Geelong U23 produce 4.45 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 70%.
  • The model leans Under 4.25 goals at 60% probability.

Melbourne Srbija U23 — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 A L Eltham Redbacks U23 0–3 3–10
2026-07-18 H L Port Melbourne U23 2–3 6–6
2026-07-11 H L Manningham Utd Blues U23 1–2 4–6
2026-07-03 A L Northcote City U23 2–4 4–9
2026-06-07 H W North Geelong U23 7–2 0–0
2026-05-30 H D Langwarrin U23 0–0 7–5
2026-05-16 H D Brunswick City U23 1–1 5–8
2026-05-09 A L Bulleen Lions U23 0–2 3–7
2026-04-18 H L Eltham Redbacks U23 0–1 5–6
2026-04-11 A L Port Melbourne U23 1–2 3–2

North Geelong U23 — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 H L Bulleen Lions U23 0–4 1–7
2026-07-25 A W Brunswick Juventus U23 2–0 7–4
2026-07-11 A D Eltham Redbacks U23 1–1 1–5
2026-07-04 H W Port Melbourne U23 1–0 6–4
2026-06-20 A D Manningham Utd Blues U23 1–1 6–6
2026-06-13 H L Northcote City U23 2–3 4–4
2026-06-07 A L Melbourne Srbija U23 2–7 0–0
2026-05-30 H W North Sunshine Eagles U23 5–1 4–7
2026-05-24 A L Melbourne Knights U23 0–5 2–9
2026-05-16 H W Langwarrin U23 3–1 3–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Melbourne Srbija U23 vs North Geelong U23?
Our model gives Melbourne Srbija U23 a 31% chance, the draw 21% and North Geelong U23 48%. The most likely score is 1-2.
How many corners are expected in Melbourne Srbija U23 vs North Geelong U23?
The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.