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Australia Victoria Premier League 1

Melbourne Victory NPL vs Northcote City Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-111%2-19%1-27%
Expected goals1.83 – 1.40
Avg goals3.23
Our pickHome
Melbourne Victory NPL 47% Draw 24% Northcote City 29%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +6% Value 47% 2.12 2.25
Double chance – Home or away 76% 1.31 1.15
Goals 3.25 Under 55% 1.83 1.88
Both teams to score – Yes 64% 1.57 –
Asian handicap 0 Home +12% Value 62% 1.62 1.88
Corners 9.5 Over 79% 1.27 –
Correct score – 1-1 11% 9.48 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.25  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 2.35
Goals 3.25 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.4 Melbourne Victory NPL
12.3 Expected corners
6.9 Northcote City

Melbourne Victory NPL corner stats · Northcote City corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 79% Under 21%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 12.3 corners here; Melbourne Victory NPL are forecast for 5.4.
  • Melbourne Victory NPL win 5.82 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.77 over their last 22.
  • Melbourne Victory NPL games clear the 9.5 corner line 73% of the time.
  • Across 24 recent matches, Northcote City games produced 11.21 corners on average — 6.79 taken by Northcote City themselves.
  • Northcote City games clear the 9.5 corner line 54% of the time.
  • Melbourne Victory NPL matches average 3.68 goals, with both teams scoring in 68% of them.
  • Games involving Northcote City produce 2.75 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
  • The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 55% probability.

Melbourne Victory NPL — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-03 H W FC Melbourne Srbija 1–0 5–9
2026-07-27 H W North Sunshine Eagles 1–0 2–6
2026-07-18 A W North Geelong 2–0 4–8
2026-07-10 A D Langwarrin 3–3 3–9
2026-07-05 A L Western United FC NPL 2–3 6–1
2026-06-22 H W Brunswick City 4–1 8–6
2026-06-13 A W Bulleen Lions 4–2 1–10
2026-06-08 H W Brunswick Juventus 4–0 8–9
2026-06-01 H L Melbourne Knights 1–2 5–5
2026-05-22 A D Eltham Redbacks 3–3 7–8

Northcote City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-31 H W Eltham Redbacks 1–0 8–4
2026-07-25 A W Port Melbourne SC 3–1 3–4
2026-07-17 H D Manningham United Blues 3–3 12–3
2026-07-10 H L Melbourne Knights 0–1 6–3
2026-07-03 H L FC Melbourne Srbija 2–3 7–8
2026-06-20 A W North Sunshine Eagles 2–0 6–5
2026-06-13 A L North Geelong 1–2 8–6
2026-06-05 H W Langwarrin 3–1 5–3
2026-05-31 A W Western United FC NPL 2–1 5–3
2026-05-22 H W Brunswick City 1–0 8–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Melbourne Victory NPL vs Northcote City?
Our model gives Melbourne Victory NPL a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Northcote City 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Melbourne Victory NPL vs Northcote City?
The corner model projects 12.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 79% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.