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Australia NPL Victoria Women

Melbourne Victory NPL (W) vs Melbourne City NPL (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 3-1
Expected goals3.49 – 1.32
Avg goals4.81
Our pickHome
Melbourne Victory NPL (W) 77% Draw 13% Melbourne City NPL (W) 10%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 77% 1.29 1.18
Double chance – Home or draw 90% 1.11 1.00
Goals 4.25 Over +13% Value 58% 1.73 1.98
Both teams to score – Yes 71% 1.40 –
Asian handicap -2.25 Away 53% 1.87 1.83
Corners 9.5 Over 56% 1.80 1.90
Correct score – 3-1 +289% Value 8% 13.11 51.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.18  ·  Draw 6.50  ·  Away 9.50
Goals 4.25 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap -2.25 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83
Corners 9 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.7 Melbourne Victory NPL (W)
10.0 Expected corners
3.2 Melbourne City NPL (W)

Melbourne Victory NPL (W) corner stats · Melbourne City NPL (W) corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 56% Under 44%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10 corners in this match, with Melbourne Victory NPL (W) winning 6.7 of them.
  • Across 19 recent matches, Melbourne Victory NPL (W) games produced 8.21 corners on average — 4.74 taken by Melbourne Victory NPL (W) themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 26% of Melbourne Victory NPL (W) matches.
  • Melbourne City NPL (W) matches average 10.06 total corners (3.65 won per game) across their last 17 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 65% of Melbourne City NPL (W) matches.
  • Games involving Melbourne Victory NPL (W) produce 3.95 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
  • Melbourne City NPL (W) matches average 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 4.25 (58%).

Melbourne Victory NPL (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Essendon Royals (W) 0–6 5–5
2026-07-19 A L Boroondara Eagles (W) 2–4 3–4
2026-07-04 H L Box Hill (W) 1–5 4–9
2026-06-27 A L Keilor Park (W) 1–2 6–5
2026-06-20 A D South Melbourne (W) 1–1 5–4
2026-06-06 A L Avondale (W) 1–2 5–1
2026-05-30 A W Heidelberg United (W) 1–0 4–4
2026-05-23 H L Bulleen Lions (W) 0–2 3–3
2026-05-17 H W Preston Lions (W) 2–0 3–3
2026-05-09 A L Alamein FC (W) 0–2 4–4

Melbourne City NPL (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Bentleigh Greens (W) 0–2 2–5
2026-07-18 H L Essendon Royals (W) 1–3 5–9
2026-07-04 A L Keilor Park (W) 1–3 2–9
2026-06-27 H L Avondale (W) 1–6 0–10
2026-06-20 A L Bulleen Lions (W) 0–5 3–7
2026-06-06 A L Alamein FC (W) 1–2 2–6
2026-05-29 A D Spring Hills FC (W) 1–1 5–6
2026-05-24 A L Boroondara Eagles (W) 0–3 5–8
2026-05-09 A L South Melbourne (W) 2–9 0–10
2026-05-02 H L Heidelberg United (W) 3–9 6–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Melbourne Victory NPL (W) vs Melbourne City NPL (W)?
Our model gives Melbourne Victory NPL (W) a 77% chance, the draw 13% and Melbourne City NPL (W) 10%. The most likely score is 3-1.
How many corners are expected in Melbourne Victory NPL (W) vs Melbourne City NPL (W)?
The corner model projects 10.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 56% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.