Europe Friendlies
Merida vs Betis Deportivo Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.99 – 1.17
Avg goals3.16
Our pickHome
Merida 55%
Draw 24%
Betis Deportivo 21%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 55% | 1.81 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 79% | 1.27 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 50% | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away | 50% | 1.99 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.20 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.62 · Draw 4.00 · Away 4.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 43 recent matches, Merida games produced 9.19 corners on average — 4.44 taken by Merida themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Merida matches.
- Betis Deportivo matches average 8.86 total corners (4.08 won per game) across their last 37 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of Betis Deportivo matches.
- Games involving Merida produce 2.77 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
- Betis Deportivo matches average 2.81 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (50%).
Merida — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Osasuna B | 2–1 | 4–0 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 1–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Barakaldo | 0–2 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Lugo | 0–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Arenas Club de Getxo | 0–2 | 5–10 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | W CD Arenteiro | 2–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-13 | H | D Tenerife | 1–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | L Ponferradina | 1–4 | 5–4 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | W Racing Ferrol | 2–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | D Athletic Bilbao B | 1–1 | 5–3 |
Betis Deportivo — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | A | D FC Cartagena | 2–2 | 0–4 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | W Real Murcia | 2–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Antequera | 1–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Atletico Madrid B | 1–3 | 4–8 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | W Juventud Torremolinos CF | 2–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | L Eldense | 0–1 | 8–7 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | W Sabadell | 3–1 | 3–9 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | D Teruel | 2–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W Hercules | 2–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | L CE Europa | 2–5 | 4–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Merida vs Betis Deportivo?
- Our model gives Merida a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Betis Deportivo 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.