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Australia South Australia Premier League

Metrostars vs Adelaide United NPL Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-1
Expected goals2.35 – 1.02
Avg goals3.37
Our pickHome
Metrostars 66% Draw 20% Adelaide United NPL 14%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 66% 1.51 1.25
Double chance – Home or draw 86% 1.16 1.02
Goals 3.25 Under 51% 1.96 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.71 1.73
Asian handicap -1.5 Away 55% 1.80 1.85
Corners 9.5 Under 54% 1.85 –
Correct score – 2-1 +103% Value 10% 10.33 23.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.25  ·  Draw 5.50  ·  Away 7.00
Goals 3.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap -1.75 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.6 Metrostars
9.1 Expected corners
4.5 Adelaide United NPL

Metrostars corner stats · Adelaide United NPL corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 46% Under 54%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.1 corners in this match, with Metrostars winning 4.6 of them.
  • Metrostars matches average 9.20 total corners (4.94 won per game) across their last 35 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Metrostars matches.
  • Adelaide United NPL win 5.88 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.36 over their last 25.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of Adelaide United NPL matches.
  • Games involving Metrostars produce 3.43 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 49%.
  • Adelaide United NPL matches average 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.8 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11.9 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (51%).

Metrostars — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H L West Adelaide 1–3 10–3
2026-07-18 A L Playford 0–1 7–4
2026-07-04 H W West Torrens Birkalla 3–1 2–5
2026-06-27 A W Para Hills Knights 9–0 8–2
2026-06-20 A L Adelaide City 0–3 5–3
2026-06-13 H W Sturt Lions 1–0 1–2
2026-06-06 A W White City FK Beograd 2–1 5–3
2026-05-30 H W Campbelltown City 4–0 6–5
2026-05-23 A W Croydon FC 3–2 2–2
2026-05-16 H D Adelaide Comets 0–0 5–3

Adelaide United NPL — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H L Sturt Lions 2–3 3–0
2026-07-19 A W White City FK Beograd 2–0 1–7
2026-07-04 H D Campbelltown City 0–0 9–3
2026-06-26 A L Croydon FC 0–3 13–4
2026-06-20 H D Adelaide Comets 1–1 8–3
2026-06-13 H D Adelaide City 0–0 4–3
2026-06-07 A L West Adelaide 1–3 5–4
2026-05-30 H D Playford 0–0 4–1
2026-05-23 H W West Torrens Birkalla 3–0 2–2
2026-05-16 A W Para Hills Knights 2–0 6–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Metrostars vs Adelaide United NPL?
Our model gives Metrostars a 66% chance, the draw 20% and Adelaide United NPL 14%. The most likely score is 2-1.
How many corners are expected in Metrostars vs Adelaide United NPL?
The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 46% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.