USA USL Championship
Miami FC vs Detroit City FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.04 – 1.43
Avg goals2.47
Our pickAway
Miami FC 26%
Draw 29%
Detroit City FC 45%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 45% | 2.24 | 1.90 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 74% | 1.36 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 55% | 1.81 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 1.99 | 1.80 |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home +5% Value | 55% | 1.81 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.22 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.40 · Draw 3.40 · Away 1.90 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.7
Miami FC
9.1
Expected corners
5.4
Detroit City FC
Miami FC corner stats · Detroit City FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 45%
Under 55%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.1 corners in this match, with Miami FC winning 3.7 of them.
- Across 35 recent matches, Miami FC games produced 9.60 corners on average — 3.80 taken by Miami FC themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of Miami FC matches.
- Detroit City FC matches average 8.95 total corners (5.21 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of Detroit City FC matches.
- Games involving Miami FC produce 2.80 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
- Detroit City FC matches average 2.13 goals, with both teams scoring in 45% of them.
- Across their previous 9 meetings, these sides averaged 2.2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 9 meetings with corner data averaged 5.7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (55%).
Miami FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Tampa Bay Rowdies | 2–3 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | L Colorado Switchbacks FC | 0–2 | 6–7 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | W Indy Eleven | 2–0 | 1–9 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Sarasota Paradise | 5–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | D Birmingham Legion FC | 1–1 | 6–10 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | L Orange County SC | 2–4 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | D Oakland Roots | 0–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Louisville City FC | 4–3 | 0–9 |
| 2026-05-21 | A | L Detroit City FC | 1–2 | 5–1 |
Detroit City FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Las Vegas Lights FC | 0–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Indy Eleven | 2–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Fort Wayne FC | 2–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | W Birmingham Legion FC | 2–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | D Louisville City FC | 0–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W Sporting JAX | 6–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-11 | H | D El Paso Locomotive FC | 1–1 | 10–5 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | D Lexington SC | 1–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Charleston Battery | 0–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Loudoun United FC | 0–0 | 5–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Miami FC vs Detroit City FC?
- Our model gives Miami FC a 26% chance, the draw 29% and Detroit City FC 45%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Miami FC vs Detroit City FC?
- The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 45% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.