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USA USL Championship

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 21′ 0–0

Corners0–1
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–1
Shots off target1–2
Attacks13–39
Dangerous attacks3–12
Possession31%–69%
Predicted score 1-112%2-19%1-09%
Expected goals1.45 – 1.32
Avg goals2.77
Our pickHome
Miami FC 40% Draw 26% Las Vegas Lights FC 34%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 40% 2.51 2.20
Double chance – Home or away 74% 1.36 1.20
Goals 2.75 Under 54% 1.86 2.00
Both teams to score – Yes 57% 1.77 1.57
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 54% 1.85 1.83
Corners 9.5 Under 54% 1.85 1.98
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.01 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.20  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 2.63
Goals 2.75 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83
Corners 9 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.5 Miami FC
9.2 Expected corners
4.7 Las Vegas Lights FC

Miami FC corner stats · Las Vegas Lights FC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 46% Under 54%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.2 corners in this match, with Miami FC winning 4.5 of them.
  • Miami FC win 3.80 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.60 over their last 35.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of Miami FC matches.
  • Across 34 recent matches, Las Vegas Lights FC games produced 9.26 corners on average — 4.44 taken by Las Vegas Lights FC themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Las Vegas Lights FC matches.
  • Games involving Miami FC produce 2.86 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 49%.
  • Las Vegas Lights FC matches average 2.59 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
  • Across their previous 4 meetings, these sides averaged 3.5 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 4 meetings with corner data averaged 11.5 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (54%).

Miami FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H D Detroit City FC 2–2 3–4
2026-07-26 H L Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–3 3–3
2026-07-23 A L Colorado Switchbacks FC 0–2 6–7
2026-07-16 H W Indy Eleven 2–0 1–9
2026-07-12 A W Sarasota Paradise 5–0 5–4
2026-07-06 H D Birmingham Legion FC 1–1 6–10
2026-06-25 H L Orange County SC 2–4 8–3
2026-06-14 A D Oakland Roots 0–0 5–7
2026-05-31 A L Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–2 3–3
2026-05-24 H W Louisville City FC 4–3 0–9

Las Vegas Lights FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-06 H D Oakland Roots 0–0 5–8
2026-08-02 H D Phoenix Rising FC 1–1 6–5
2026-07-26 A W Detroit City FC 1–0 2–8
2026-07-19 A W San Antonio FC 2–1 5–5
2026-07-12 A W Monterey Bay FC 3–2 4–6
2026-07-05 H L El Paso Locomotive FC 1–2 8–3
2026-06-21 H L Orange County SC 2–3 5–5
2026-06-14 A W Birmingham Legion FC 2–1 7–2
2026-06-07 H L Oakland Roots 0–2 6–6
2026-05-31 H D Tulsa 0–0 2–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC?
Our model gives Miami FC a 40% chance, the draw 26% and Las Vegas Lights FC 34%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC?
The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 46% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.