Denmark Division 2
Middelfart vs Thisted FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.26 – 1.36
Avg goals2.62
Our pickAway
Middelfart 33%
Draw 29%
Thisted FC 38%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away +89% Value | 38% | 2.65 | 5.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under +9% Value | 58% | 1.74 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.84 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away +47% Value | 82% | 1.23 | 1.93 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +17% Value | 14% | 7.28 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.50 · Draw 4.00 · Away 5.00 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.0
Middelfart
9.2
Expected corners
5.2
Thisted FC
Middelfart corner stats · Thisted FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 47%
Under 53%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.2 corners here; Middelfart are forecast for 4.
- Middelfart matches average 9.36 total corners (4.22 won per game) across their last 36 with corner data.
- Middelfart games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
- Thisted FC win 4.76 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.59 over their last 29.
- Thisted FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
- Middelfart matches average 3.61 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.
- Games involving Thisted FC produce 2.41 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 35%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.5 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 58% probability.
Middelfart — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Næsby | 1–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W VSK Aarhus | 3–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Brabrand | 3–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Hobro IK | 2–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L B93 Copenhagen | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L HB Køge | 0–4 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W AaB | 3–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Aarhus Fremad | 0–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L B93 Copenhagen | 1–2 | 5–13 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | L Aarhus Fremad | 1–5 | 3–8 |
Thisted FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Silkeborg IF | 0–6 | 1–7 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L AB | 0–3 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L FC Roskilde | 1–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Naestved IF | 2–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Hellerup IK | 2–0 | 10–2 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | L Vendsyssel FF | 0–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L AB | 1–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Vendsyssel FF | 0–1 | 7–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W FC Roskilde | 1–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W HIK | 4–0 | 4–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Middelfart vs Thisted FC?
- Our model gives Middelfart a 33% chance, the draw 29% and Thisted FC 38%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Middelfart vs Thisted FC?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.