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Mexico Liga de Expansion

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.84 – 1.00
Avg goals2.83
Our pickHome
Mineros de Zacatecas 56% Draw 25% Tlaxcala FC 19%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +18% Value 56% 1.79 2.00
Double chance – Home or draw 81% 1.24 1.25
Goals 2.25 Over +9% Value 61% 1.63 2.00
Both teams to score – Yes 54% 1.85 –
Asian handicap -0.25 Home +15% Value 64% 1.56 2.00
Corners 9 Over 52% 1.93 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.44 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.00  ·  Draw 3.30  ·  Away 3.70
Goals 2.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80
Corners 9 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.7 Mineros de Zacatecas
9.1 Expected corners
3.5 Tlaxcala FC

Mineros de Zacatecas corner stats · Tlaxcala FC corner stats

Corner line 9.00
Over 52% Under 48%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.1 corners here; Mineros de Zacatecas are forecast for 5.7.
  • Across 35 recent matches, Mineros de Zacatecas games produced 8.97 corners on average — 4.80 taken by Mineros de Zacatecas themselves.
  • Mineros de Zacatecas games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
  • Tlaxcala FC matches average 9.67 total corners (4.33 won per game) across their last 30 with corner data.
  • Tlaxcala FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
  • Mineros de Zacatecas matches average 3.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
  • Games involving Tlaxcala FC produce 2.83 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 2.25 goals at 61% probability.

Mineros de Zacatecas — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H D Correcaminos 3–3 2–6
2026-05-04 A D Tepatitlan de Morelos 1–1 1–4
2026-05-01 H D Tepatitlan de Morelos 1–1 6–5
2026-04-26 A L Atletico Morelia 0–2 3–12
2026-04-23 H W Atletico Morelia 3–0 1–3
2026-04-19 A D Irapuato 0–0 6–5
2026-04-13 H W Correcaminos 3–1 5–1
2026-04-05 A L Atlante 1–3 2–4
2026-03-30 H W Tapatio 2–1 7–5
2026-03-23 A W Universidad Guadalajara 3–1 6–6

Tlaxcala FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Universidad Guadalajara 2–4 4–4
2026-04-19 H D Venados FC 2–2 8–4
2026-04-12 A D Atletico Morelia 0–0 4–6
2026-04-08 A L Tapatio 0–3 4–1
2026-04-04 H W Dorados 2–0 2–3
2026-03-23 A D Jaiba Brava 0–0 3–8
2026-03-19 H D Atlante 1–1 4–3
2026-03-08 A L Club Atletico La Paz 0–2 1–7
2026-03-02 H W Tepatitlan de Morelos 1–0 6–6
2026-02-14 A D Oaxaca 0–0 3–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala FC?
Our model gives Mineros de Zacatecas a 56% chance, the draw 25% and Tlaxcala FC 19%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala FC?
The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 52% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.