MathPredictions
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USA MLS

Minnesota Utd vs San Diego FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.55 – 1.39
Avg goals2.94
Our pickHome
Minnesota Utd 40% Draw 27% San Diego FC 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 40% 2.49 2.00
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.37 1.27
Goals 3 Under +10% Value 56% 1.77 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 60% 1.66 1.50
Asian handicap -0.5 Away +9% Value 60% 1.67 1.80
Corners 9 Under 52% 1.94 2.03
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.97 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.00  ·  Draw 3.80  ·  Away 3.50
Goals 3 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80
Corners 9 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.5 Minnesota Utd
8.9 Expected corners
4.4 San Diego FC

Minnesota Utd corner stats · San Diego FC corner stats

Corner line 9.00
Over 48% Under 52%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.9 corners in this match, with Minnesota Utd winning 4.5 of them.
  • Minnesota Utd matches average 10.23 total corners (5.06 won per game) across their last 35 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 54% of Minnesota Utd matches.
  • San Diego FC win 5.14 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.46 over their last 37.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of San Diego FC matches.
  • Games involving Minnesota Utd produce 2.77 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
  • San Diego FC matches average 3.24 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
  • Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 2.7 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 8.3 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (56%).

Minnesota Utd — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H D Vancouver Whitecaps 0–0 5–2
2026-07-23 A L Kansas City 1–2 6–3
2026-05-24 H D Real Salt Lake 1–1 6–3
2026-05-17 A L New England 1–2 11–8
2026-05-14 H L Colorado Rapids 0–1 5–5
2026-05-11 H D Austin FC 2–2 3–4
2026-05-03 A W Columbus Crew 3–2 6–4
2026-04-29 A L San Jose 2–4 8–9
2026-04-26 H L LAFC 0–1 11–2
2026-04-23 A W FC Dallas 1–0 3–4

San Diego FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W FC Dallas 1–0 9–4
2026-07-23 A L Colorado Rapids 0–1 3–5
2026-05-24 H L Vancouver Whitecaps 2–4 2–4
2026-05-17 H D FC Cincinnati 3–3 7–2
2026-05-14 H W Austin FC 5–0 6–3
2026-05-10 A D Seattle Sounders 1–1 2–8
2026-05-03 H D LAFC 2–2 2–3
2026-04-26 H L Portland Timbers 1–2 6–6
2026-04-23 A L Houston Dynamo 0–1 3–1
2026-04-19 A L Real Salt Lake 2–4 6–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Minnesota Utd vs San Diego FC?
Our model gives Minnesota Utd a 40% chance, the draw 27% and San Diego FC 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Minnesota Utd vs San Diego FC?
The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 48% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.