MathPredictions
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New Zealand Central Premier League

Miramar Rangers vs Waterside Karori Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

FT 0–0 (HT 0–0)

Corners15–2
Yellow cards3–0
Shots on target8–0
Shots off target12–1
Attacks149–84
Dangerous attacks131–23
Possession67%–33%
Predicted score 3-0
Expected goals3.01 – 0.71
Avg goals3.72
Our pickHome
Miramar Rangers 82% Draw 12% Waterside Karori 5%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 82% 1.21 1.13
Double chance – Home or draw 95% 1.06 0.99
Goals 4 Under +8% Value 61% 1.65 2.00
Both teams to score – No 51% 1.96 –
Asian handicap -2.5 Away 57% 1.77 1.95
Correct score – 3-0 +790% Value 11% 9.10 81.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.13  ·  Draw 8.50  ·  Away 13.00
Goals 3.75 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap -2.5 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Miramar Rangers matches average 11.12 total corners (6.39 won per game) across their last 33 with corner data.
  • Miramar Rangers games clear the 9.5 corner line 61% of the time.
  • Waterside Karori win 3.12 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.82 over their last 17.
  • Waterside Karori games clear the 9.5 corner line 41% of the time.
  • Miramar Rangers matches average 3.45 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
  • Games involving Waterside Karori produce 3.94 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 29%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 5.2 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9.3 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 4.00 goals at 61% probability.

Miramar Rangers — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 H D Waterside Karori 0–0 15–2
2026-07-26 A L Cashmere Technical 1–2 8–8
2026-07-18 A D Petone FC 1–1 9–4
2026-07-11 H W Wellington Phoenix Reserves 1–0 15–3
2026-07-04 A W Island Bay United 3–1 3–5
2026-06-27 H W Island Bay United 4–2 5–12
2026-06-20 A W Upper Hutt City 3–2 10–5
2026-06-13 H W Western Suburbs 2–0 11–4
2026-06-06 A D Wellington Olympic 1–1 7–3
2026-05-30 A W Wellington Olympic 2–1 2–6

Waterside Karori — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 A D Miramar Rangers 0–0 2–15
2026-07-19 A W FC Western 3–2 2–1
2026-07-11 H W Petone FC 1–0 1–11
2026-06-27 A L Upper Hutt City 0–6 2–7
2026-06-20 A D Wellington Phoenix Reserves 0–0 0–8
2026-06-06 H W Island Bay United 4–0 7–2
2026-05-23 H L Wellington Olympic 0–3 5–6
2026-05-16 H D Western Suburbs 2–2 1–8
2026-05-10 A L Napier City Rovers 0–5 1–5
2026-05-02 H L Miramar Rangers 0–6 0–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Miramar Rangers vs Waterside Karori?
Our model gives Miramar Rangers a 82% chance, the draw 12% and Waterside Karori 5%. The most likely score is 3-0.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.