MathPredictions
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Norway Division 2 Group 1

Mjondalen vs Notodden Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.56 – 1.41
Avg goals2.98
Our pickHome
Mjondalen 40% Draw 27% Notodden 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 40% 2.50 1.80
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.36 1.18
Goals 3 Under 55% 1.81 1.88
Both teams to score – Yes 61% 1.64 –
Asian handicap -0.5 Away +17% Value 60% 1.67 1.95
Corners 9.5 Under 55% 1.82 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.07 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.80  ·  Draw 3.70  ·  Away 3.40
Goals 3 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.6 Mjondalen
9.1 Expected corners
4.5 Notodden

Mjondalen corner stats · Notodden corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 45% Under 55%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.1 corners in this match, with Mjondalen winning 4.6 of them.
  • Mjondalen matches average 9.72 total corners (4.47 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Mjondalen matches.
  • Notodden win 4.96 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.83 over their last 24.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Notodden matches.
  • Games involving Mjondalen produce 3.63 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 66%.
  • Notodden matches average 3.38 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
  • Across their previous 9 meetings, these sides averaged 2.9 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 9 meetings with corner data averaged 9.7 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (55%).

Mjondalen — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-06-27 H W Bjarg 1–0 3–1
2026-06-20 A W Notodden 2–1 6–9
2026-06-13 H D Kvik Halden FK 3–3 5–3
2026-06-01 A L Pors Grenland 0–1 2–6
2026-05-23 H W Sandviken 4–0 6–4
2026-05-16 A W Eik Tønsberg 2–1 6–4
2026-05-10 H W Vidar 2–0 5–3
2026-05-03 A D SK Traeff 2–2 5–7
2026-04-25 A L Sotra 0–4 0–5
2026-04-18 H W Lysekloster 2–1 7–5

Notodden — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Sotra 1–0 4–3
2026-06-27 A W Sandviken 4–0 3–3
2026-06-20 H L Mjondalen 1–2 9–6
2026-06-14 A W Lysekloster 2–0 5–2
2026-05-31 H D FK Jerv 0–0 8–2
2026-05-25 A L Brattvåg 0–2 4–5
2026-05-17 A W Pors Grenland 2–1 2–2
2026-05-09 H D Kvik Halden FK 1–1 6–8
2026-05-03 A W Vidar 5–0 6–5
2026-04-25 H L Bjarg 0–1 2–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Mjondalen vs Notodden?
Our model gives Mjondalen a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Notodden 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Mjondalen vs Notodden?
The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 45% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.