India Durand Cup
Mohammedan SC vs Samaleswari SC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.66 – 1.07
Avg goals2.73
Our pickHome
Mohammedan SC 50%
Draw 27%
Samaleswari SC 23%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 50% | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 77% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 50% | 2.00 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.84 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.80 · Draw 3.80 · Away 3.40 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Mohammedan SC matches average 11.26 total corners (3.68 won per game) across their last 19 with corner data.
- Mohammedan SC games clear the 9.5 corner line 68% of the time.
- Mohammedan SC matches average 2.84 goals, with both teams scoring in 37% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (51%).
Mohammedan SC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | W Baghpat FC | 4–0 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | L Northeast United | 0–2 | 3–10 |
| 2026-05-15 | H | L Mumbai City FC | 0–4 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Kerala Blasters | 1–3 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D Sporting Club Delhi | 2–2 | 6–9 |
| 2026-04-21 | A | D Chennaiyin FC | 0–0 | 6–9 |
| 2026-04-17 | A | D Odisha FC | 1–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | L Inter Kashi FC | 0–1 | 10–5 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | L Punjab FC | 1–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-03-23 | A | L East Bengal Club | 0–7 | 0–20 |
Samaleswari SC — last 3 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Baghpat FC | 4–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | L Trau FC | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | W Mumbay | 4–1 | 11–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Mohammedan SC vs Samaleswari SC?
- Our model gives Mohammedan SC a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Samaleswari SC 23%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.