Wales Championship North
Mold Alexandra FC vs Caersws Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.61 – 1.15
Avg goals2.75
Our pickHome
Mold Alexandra FC 47%
Draw 27%
Caersws 26%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 47% | 2.13 | 1.80 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 74% | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 52% | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.74 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.80 · Draw 3.90 · Away 3.30 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.7
Mold Alexandra FC
9.4
Expected corners
4.7
Caersws
Mold Alexandra FC corner stats · Caersws corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 48%
Under 52%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.4 corners in this match, with Mold Alexandra FC winning 4.7 of them.
- Mold Alexandra FC matches average 9.37 total corners (4.27 won per game) across their last 30 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 37% of Mold Alexandra FC matches.
- Caersws win 4.71 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.79 over their last 28.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Caersws matches.
- Games involving Mold Alexandra FC produce 2.83 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 60%.
- Caersws matches average 3.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Across their previous 4 meetings, these sides averaged 2.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 4 meetings with corner data averaged 11.5 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (52%).
Mold Alexandra FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | A | D Holywell Town | 1–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | L Airbus UK | 3–4 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Flint Mountain FC | 3–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | W Newtown | 2–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | W Gresford Athletic | 4–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | W Holyhead Hotspur | 1–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | L Airbus UK | 0–8 | 2–4 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | W Ruthin Town | 1–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-02-21 | H | L CPD Y Rhyl | 0–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-02-14 | A | L Penrhyncoch | 1–3 | 3–4 |
Caersws — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Denbigh Town | 6–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-14 | H | W Buckley Town | 3–2 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Guilsfield | 1–4 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | L Penrhyncoch | 1–2 | 6–9 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | W Gresford Athletic | 2–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | L Llandudno | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W CPD Y Rhyl | 1–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | L Holywell Town | 1–3 | 8–5 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | L Airbus UK | 1–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-02-28 | A | L Brickfield Rangers | 1–3 | 2–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Mold Alexandra FC vs Caersws?
- Our model gives Mold Alexandra FC a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Caersws 26%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Mold Alexandra FC vs Caersws?
- The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.