MathPredictions

Norway Eliteserien

Molde vs Sarpsborg Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.94 – 1.14
Avg goals3.09
Our pickHome
Molde 55% Draw 24% Sarpsborg 21%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 55% 1.82 1.62
Double chance Home or draw 79% 1.27 1.18
Goals 3.25 Under +12% Value 58% 1.72 1.95
Both teams to score Yes 59% 1.69 1.50
Asian handicap -1 Away 58% 1.73 1.78
Corners 10.5 Under 52% 1.92 1.80
Correct score 1-1 11% 8.96 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.62  ·  Draw 4.33  ·  Away 4.75
Goals 3.25 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -1 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.78
Corners 10.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.2 Molde
10.3 Expected corners
4.1 Sarpsborg
Corner line 10.50
Over 48% Under 52%

Match trends

Molde — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A W KFUM 4–2 9–3
2026-07-19 H L SK Brann 1–2 6–4
2026-07-11 A D Aalesund 2–2 7–2
2026-07-05 A L Rosenborg 1–2 4–4
2026-06-28 H L Bodo/Glimt 1–4 4–3
2026-06-22 H W KFUM 5–1 9–2
2026-05-30 H W Sandefjord 2–1 6–10
2026-05-25 A L Sarpsborg 1–2 8–2
2026-05-16 H W Kristiansund BK 1–0 3–6
2026-05-10 A L Tromso 0–2 4–5

Sarpsborg — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W HamKam 1–0 4–3
2026-07-18 A D Kristiansund BK 0–0 8–4
2026-07-13 H W Viking FK 1–0 3–4
2026-07-03 A L Lillestrom 1–3 4–8
2026-05-30 A W SK Brann 2–1 5–8
2026-05-25 H W Molde 2–1 2–8
2026-05-17 A L Valerenga 2–3 0–7
2026-05-09 H W Fredrikstad 2–1 11–3
2026-05-03 A L Lillestrom 0–4 3–3
2026-04-26 A L KFUM 0–1 2–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Molde vs Sarpsborg?
Our model gives Molde a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Sarpsborg 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Molde vs Sarpsborg?
The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.