Beach Soccer Euro League - 36 mins play
Moldova Beach vs Italy Beach Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-5
Expected goals2.33 – 5.17
Avg goals7.50
Our pickAway
Moldova Beach 11%
Draw 9%
Italy Beach 80%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 80% | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 91% | 1.10 | 1.03 |
| Goals | 7.25 | Over | 50% | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 90% | 1.11 | – |
| Asian handicap | 3 | Home +7% Value | 55% | 1.82 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 2-5 | 5% | 21.28 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 8.50 · Draw 8.00 · Away 1.17 |
| Goals 7.25 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap 3 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 5 recent matches, Italy Beach games produced 6.40 corners on average — 3.40 taken by Italy Beach themselves.
- Italy Beach games clear the 9.5 corner line 20% of the time.
- Italy Beach matches average 8.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
- Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 8 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 0 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 7.25 (50%).
Moldova Beach — last 4 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | W Belgium Beach | 4–1 | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-04 | H | L Spain Beach | 4–11 | 3–4 |
| 2025-08-03 | H | D Poland Beach | 5–5 | 3–9 |
| 2025-08-02 | A | L Denmark Beach | 2–3 | 7–3 |
Italy Beach — last 5 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | W Belgium Beach | 6–1 | 5–2 |
| 2025-09-15 | A | W Spain Beach | 8–5 | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | H | W Belarus Beach | 1–0 | 4–7 |
| 2025-09-11 | H | W Portugal Beach | 6–3 | 1–3 |
| 2025-08-03 | H | W Ukraine Beach | 8–2 | 6–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Moldova Beach vs Italy Beach?
- Our model gives Moldova Beach a 11% chance, the draw 9% and Italy Beach 80%. The most likely score is 2-5.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.